Monday, March 27, 2017

Health Care Redux

        In the course of numerous  rounds of golf or the mandatory post golf debriefing over lunch, I have heard some truly ludicrous misstatements regarding healthcare.  Because of where I live and the political persuasion of many of my friends (some of whom, in fairness are in the throes of serious buyers' remorse) I generally am silent or non-committal in these discussions; I know, I find it hard to believe myself.

        My favorite bullshit statements are usually in the area of "Obamacare is socialized medicine" or, should one to  dare mention or endorse the concept of a single payer plan, the response is to lambaste the cost and taxes that the speaker believes must attend  such a measure. I say "believes" because, as so many of the Reflexive Right do, the speaker frequently is orating based on what they believe to be factual without ever having done the homework.

         So....although they'll never read it, here are some stats related to the issue. It must also be mentioned that all of these chaps are retired and on Medicare, which, being a single payer system, IS "socialized" medicine.  So far this has not caused any of them to refuse it. I pointed this out to one such soul who immediately responded that "I paid into it!" My response that the Brits do too, through taxes, elicited a harrumph.  

       First: The Affordable Care Act is not socialized medicine since it mandates the purchasing of private healthcare insurance. Note the word "private" as in "not government" insurance. It is a poor compromise forced on the President at the time, because of the intransigence of the opposition party in Congress, who refused to even sit down and talk about it. The extension of Medicaid  by the states to persons above, but close to, the federal poverty limit would be "socialized" to a degree, if most states did it. Many didn't for the wrong reasons, preeminent among which was. "They're poor, screw 'em."

       Second: There is almost a unanimous belief among these persons that the British national health service costs the nation more than whatever the US has in place. When one considers the amount of salary which goes to the National Health Service (NHS) it might seem that way, but it isn't in fact. Consider the example of a middle  class wage earner (or any one for that matter): The percentage of income which goes to the NHS is 5.7% of income. So what do you get for that? Zero co-pays for Doctor visits, hospitalization or medical procedures, which now are frequently faster than in the US. There are modest, especially by US standards, co-pays for dental, (Far less than almost any US dental plan), Optical, and prescription drugs. A note here, the co-pay for prescription drugs in the UK is typically far less than the same drugs in the US. In the UK, if over 60, under 16,  pregnant, or with any other of a long list of issues or financial  circumstances, they are free. This includes if you walk in to a hospital off the street in need of medication. Cancer drugs are free. Period!    

        Wow, 5.7% seems like a lot, huh? Consider that the average American spends about $1300 annually on drugs, but those with insurance spend more like $200, since insurance pays much of the cost. But wait: How much does the "average" American  family spend on the actual out of pocket cost of health care? In 2017, it looks like the one earner family of four will contribute (pay - call it what it is!)  about $6717 to the cost of an employer sponsored group plan and an additional $4316 in additional out of pocket costs. This amounts to right at $11,000 per year in health insurance costs! Compared to the UK percentage, as a percentage of gross income this is about twice as much paid  for much less health care. Note that this is for persons with employer facilitated plans, those who are self employed, just lube up and bend over.  

        So, for a real world comparison of what this means, I did the following comparison using an imaginary UK single earner family and the same family working for my former Employer, Orange County (Florida) Public Schools. In each case it assumes a spouse and children (number is irrelevant for this case.) I also assumed that the teacher was a high earner in the 17 year plus bracket with a master's degree. I will assume the teacher is me, I  taught 20 years, I had  yearly evaluations of "Highly Effective" (I did/was) and a Master's degree add on of $3000. Today this would put me at a lofty $68,766 annual salary!

        As an aside, this is about $4,000 per year less than my basic military pay would be at 20 years and an E-9 (I was). Adding in allowances, an E-9 on recruiting duty today in Leesburg Florida would earn, before FICA, just under $104,000 annually and have essentially ZERO health care costs!

       But, back to the teacher:  Depending which employer offered Health Care Insurance plan I choose for myself and spouse,  I could expect to see (from cheapest to most costly for employee, spouse and kids) another annual cost of from $3600 to $11,760! This is exclusive of co-pays (extensive in the "cheap" plan) and, in the lower tier two plans limits on choice of providers. In fact, in the lower tier plan, add $3000 for initial copays alone before Insurance pays a dime!

        Now for the big reveal, as they say on "Fixer Upper."  A person living in the UK earning the same as the teacher (£54,576. or $68,766)  pays exactly (I used the online UK tax calculator but assumed zero deductions, so it's the absolute max tax load) $13,236 adjusted from Pounds, annually in taxes. This is before personal savings deductions or pension contributions or other reasons to pay less which many Britons use.  By comparison, an "average US taxpayer would pay an 13% effective tax rate with all available deductions (unless, of course they're a "one percenter" like Donald Trump). This amounts to about $ 8939 in taxes paid, and you say, "But Mike that's less than the Brit."  Yes, but, and this is a big but, the US taxpayer actually got less in the paycheck due to employer deductions for health insurance and spent much more out of pocket for health care to boot. Add this average annual expense back in and the equation changes radically.
The US teacher actually only got paid (assuming the "best" employer plan) $68766 - $6717 (health care contribution) for a total before taxes  of $62,049. deduct 13% X $62,049 (witholding, it would actually be more) for a take home of $53983 (this is actually too high, since I'm using the effective tax rate, not the witholding one, which also includes Medicare, which the taxpayer will pay before using it as well as after.

        Add to this the after tax cost of (again an average) $4316 in out of pocket costs, and the comparable take home is   $49,667. This is equivalent today to £39,418. This within a couple of hundred dollars of a precise break even, but wait! For his money, the Brit will also have Dental (Root canal $67.00!) and Vision care (with some co-pay for glasses;  cataract surgery is free, but if you don't want to wait 18 weeks, then have it done privately, cost is about $1200, compared to US average of $3700!).


        Additionally, this assumption for the US employee assumes zero hospitalization or even urgent care or Emergency room visits and no catastrophic health care issues, because that shifts the whole equation, since for the Brit, there is essentially zero additional expense. It must be noted that I used the UK as an example here, but every European nation has National Health Care and, with the exception of Norway, all do it cheaper on a per capita  basis than the US. So yeah, The ACA is a poor substitute for National Health Care, but as long as Big Pharma and the Insurance Industry have legislators, and now POTUS , in their pockets, we'll be better off muddling along than with the giant bucket of horseshit proffered by Ryan and company.  Bless the hearts of those few Republican legislators who listened to their constituents and said "Hell no!" May they continue to use their consciences.
   

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