Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Gasoline Economics 101

 


Gasoline Economics 101

         So, right off the bat, as the daily news reports, correctly, I assume, that the price of gasoline has risen to over $3.00/gallon, I wonder how many readers threw the paper down, blaming President Biden. I am absolutely sure that some moron used the words “Keystone Pipeline” in a diatribe, although that “pipe dream” (see what I did there?) was years from any meaningful impact on gas prices.   

        As I have (too) often had to remind the uninformed and/or Economics challenged, the federal impact on fuel pricing has actually diminished since the federal gas tax was set at 18.4 cents/gallon in 1993. Since it was not indexed to inflation, it has remained at that figure even though with the US Consumer Price Index increases from 1993 to 2020, it should be 1.79 times higher than it is, just to match inflation. For the math challenged let me simplify. Just to keep pace with inflation the federal gas tax should be over 33 cents/gallon.

        For those too young (or too old) to remember, gasoline prices have fluctuated over time for various reasons from OPEC production squeezes to off-line refineries, to hurricanes. Etc. Let’s deal with the non-market fluctuations first, in other words State fuel taxes.  The below graphic shows the unchanging federal tax and the federal tax for each state.


  If you’re angry about fuel taxes, I suggest you contact your state representatives. Clearly, the Fed isn’t the primary taxing entity nationwide as far as fuel prices are concerned. Moreover, note the variation from California (where 23%) of gas tax is federal to Alaska, where 54% is federal.

        But, enough already, with the tax aspect of gas prices. Why are prices up right now? Adam Smith explained it all in “The Wealth of Nations” (1776), waaay before the gasoline engine was even invented. Gasoline is a commodity and, as such is subject to the basic laws of supply and demand. Since there is also limited storage capacity relative to the huge volumes of gasoline we consume, automobile fuel is very susceptible to price fluctuations as demand lags or surges, causing either surplus or shortage.  

        For most of 2020, many of us were in varying degrees isolation and reduced driving with that extending, but diminishing, into mid 2021 (today). Nationally and, in fact, world-wide, gasoline consumption has been well below historical averages. For 2020 the US as a nation consumed more than 10% less gasoline than the 5-year previous average. Accordingly, producers/importers limited production to match demand and prices remained relatively stable. However, now with vaccines and the subsequent resumption of more and more normal lives, especially including travel, the demand for gasoline has escalated. Demand now exceeds supply and will for a short while. Predictably, prices rise due to shortages. What does government at any level have to do with that? Not a damned thing.

        And as an inserted political commentary, if Congress had any real balls at all, they’d increase federal gasoline/diesel tax to the level it would/should be if it were CPI indexed, and the infrastructure issue would be eased by the influx of around $25.5 billion in increased revenue! (average annual fuel usage of gas and diesel at an extra 15 cents per gallon)

        Now is probably a good time to also lay some responsibility on retailers. When they have supply tanks half full and supply lags, leading to a wholesale price increase, they raise their price at the pump in anticipation of what it will cost to refill them, realizing the consumer is probably unaware of the wholesale cost fluctuations. Even if the fuel in their half full tanks was wholesaled to them at $1.20 per gallon, and they are retailing it at (as a hypothetical) $1.85, with a profit of perhaps 15 cents a gallon (national average for net profit), the moment the retailer realizes his cost to refill those tanks is going to increase, he us likely to raise the price on that remaining gas to meet the wholesale price increase. But after he has refilled at the higher price, he will continue selling at that price even if the wholesale price drops, until he can refill at a lower cost. Welcome to retail. But, before you fire-bomb your local station, consider that, at a volume of 4,000 gallons/day their net profit is around a paltry $100 daily.

        The other reality many Americans fail to consider is that there was a world-wide “oil glut” from mid-1985 to 1999, with accompanying low oil prices. The Iraq war, the great Recession, Arab Spring and accompanying world events drove oil supplies down and, accordingly, prices for refined gas up between 2003 and 2014. 2015 saw a rebound in crude oil supplies and price at the pump eased back down. The 2020 global pandemic was simply another event causing supply and demand to get out of synch, with the usual effects on price. This, too, shall pass.  

        American consumers would be wise to take a look at the nations of Europe and their gasoline prices.     


  The EU requires that all member nations levy at least an equivalent of $1.61 US per gallon. Most tax more than that minimum. The UK, for example, charges $2.60 /gallon (.65-euro equivalent/liter). This seems astronomical to us, but I point this out to show that even if US fuel tax was only half that of Europe’s minimum (80 cents per gallon in round figures) the revenues generated for much needed infrastructure would be largely paid for by users.  If mandatorily aimed at and limited to infrastructure, this would generate another $136 billion annually, off budget, adding nothing to the national debt. Oh well, what do I know?

Monday, June 14, 2021

An Uncomfortable Truth?

                      

             An Uncomfortable Truth?


There will, undoubtedly be some who will disagree with my premise. So be it. We are sometimes bombarded with events and decisions which inspire self-contradictory feelings because they are at odds with each other.

        Example: Florida’s governor, Ron DeSantis, proudly signed, late last week, a bill aimed at restructuring Florida’s education standards. One key provision is the mandated teaching of The Holocaust. On the off chance that any public-school history teacher worth their paycheck would not do so unless ordered to, I guess this is OK. It was certainly a major world event and a genocidal horror which demands remembrance. The bill goes on to mandate teaching not only the Holocaust, but the (sic) “history of systematic anti-Semitism aimed at the Jewish people throughout history.” Again, as teacher of World and United States History, genocide of any nature was a subject for my classroom…. but: The bill also bans the teaching of critical race theory and “dumps” Common Core. So? So, an essential part of Common Core is the teaching and inculcation of critical thinking skills.

        Stay with me here. Critical thinkers might well ask. “Why are we mandated to teach one horrific series of world events aimed at a specific ethnic group and banned from teaching about similar efforts aimed at others?”  Why are the horrors inflicted upon one group (Hebrews) more worthy of critical analysis than the systematic and at times genocidal efforts aimed at Native Americans by the US, Caribbean natives by the Spanish, Armenians in Turkey, the Irish by the English, and African Americans in Africa by European colonialists and here in the US?  

        The correct answer is a better “Lobby.”  First however let me establish one salient fact: Being opposed in principle to Zionism is not anti-Semitic and, in fact there are several significant anti-Israel Jewish organizations in the US. By “anti- Israel”, these groups mean that they are calling for what, traditionally, Jews have sought all along – the right to live equally and participate peaceably in society wherever they may live. Where they differ is in the nature of what Israelis have done to indigenous Arabs in the process.  To a great extent, the denial of this basic human right has, historically, previously been driven by Christians. Jews have suffered thus. To those Evangelical ravings that Christians haven't killed in the name of their religion consider the following:

Bosnia: During the Bosnian War, at least 97,207 people were killed. The vast majority were Bosnian Muslims, the victims of religiously motivated "ethnic cleansing" at the hands of both Croatian Catholics and Yugoslav Orthodox.

Crusades: Christian military excursions against the Muslim Conquests killed at a lower estimate, 1.7 million. Although styled as Holy War, and preached as one by the Pope, it was even worse, as it rapidly degenerated into empire building in the name of "Christian kingdoms" in the eastern Mediterranean. 

 

 

French Wars of Religion: In France, during the last half of the 16th century wars between French Catholics and (Protestant) Huguenots caused the death of 2.8 million souls, again in the name of the same god (different uniform).

The Thirty Years' War:  Fought between parts of Germany and other outside forces pitted Protestant against Catholic again, both convinced God was on their side, as Protestant princes rebelled against the Holy Roman Empire. During the first half of the 17th century at least 5.9 million died in the name of one or the other version of Christianity.

Spanish Inquisition:  Once again, Roman Catholics killed those who did not believe as they did. between 1493 and about 1530, burnings killed at least 1,000, but the real tragedy was the belief that God had, via the Pope, granted all of the Americas to Spain, ergo, if native persons did not follow God's will (give up the gold and be slaves) they could be killed, and essentially all Arawaks and Caribs in the Caribbean basin eventually were.   

Worthy of special mention is the fact that Germany considered itself a Christian nation as it pursued the "final solution". Of course, this was not the first time Jews in Germany had been persecuted, since Teutonic Knights on their way to the holy land burned synagogues with the congregations locked inside. This, then is just a partial listing of the real story about the clean hands of Christianity.

But I digress, as I sometimes do. So/ what do anti-Zionists including a significant number if US Jews dislike about it. It is simply this. Israel’s current rulers are treating indigenous Arab peoples in much the same manner as they themselves have been treated historically.

In defense of this colonialist attitude (which is what it is) David Harris, head of the American Jewish Committee, says “To deny the Jewish people, of all the peoples on earth, the right to self-determination surely is discriminatory.”  All the peoples on earth? The Kurds don’t have their own state. Neither do the Basques, Catalans, Scots, Kashmiris, Tibetans, Abkhazians, Ossetians, Lombards, Igbo, Oromo, Uyghurs, Tamils and Québécois, nor dozens of other peoples who have created nationalist movements to seek self-determination but failed to achieve it. 

States based on ethnic nationalism – states created to represent and protect one particular ethnic group – are not the only legitimate way to ensure public order and individual freedom, and certainly the USA is exemplary in its (generally) inclusionary policy. One might think Israel’s leaders would understand this, because many of the same Jewish leaders who call national self-determination a universal right are quite comfortable denying it to Palestinians. Israel contains close to 5 million non-citizens, that is, Palestinians who live under Israeli control in the West Bank and Gaza (yes, Israel still controls Gaza) without basic rights in the state that dominates their lives. In (too) many ways, Palestinians are subjected to the same sort of “Apartheid” rules which South African Blacks were forced to endure under apartheid. When the Knesset decides to approve the establishment of more and more Jewish settlements in the occupied territories, no Palestinians are consulted or are their opinions valid.

Israel’s “nation state law” (formally known as Basic Law: Israel - The Nation State of the Jewish People), which came into force in 2018, defines Israel as the nation state of the Jewish people, constitutionally entrenching inequality and discrimination against non-Jews. The law grants the right to self-determination exclusively to Jews, establishes that immigration leading to automatic citizenship is exclusive to Jews and promotes the building of Jewish settlements. It essentially establishes a theocracy (you know, like that of Iran?) and since Israel collects income taxes from every Palestinian employed in Israel and the occupied territories sets up a situation much like America’s colonies who ass one might recall protested and went to war over “No taxation without representation.”

        Israel as a state is simply another colonial attempt, following a war, one of whose aims was to end colonialism, as stipulated in both the Atlantic Charter and the Charter of the United Nations. Whether one thinks it justified or not, that's all it is. Israel is Plymouth Plantation, and its Arab neighbors are Native Americans, pushed off their land and told where they may live, as long as they behave. 

Imagine, some Jewish Americans think Israelis are hypocritical. So do I.

For a detailed (and too long for this gram) historical analysis of the evolution of the region from Abrahamic fantasy to the present read this monograph in my blog:

https://bubblehead1026.blogspot.com/2019/03/a-mid-east-history-you-dont-often-hear.html

Tuesday, June 8, 2021

The Truth About Cyber Security

 

 The Truth About Cyber Security

    


A recent op-ed (scratch that, it isn’t “ed” it’s just an attack cartoon) portrays President Biden as a Barney Fife caricature dunce over the title “Biden Fife Cyber-security.”  This is obviously an effort to divert attention from three actual realities.

        The first is that the May 6th Colonial Pipeline hacker attack happened in the arena of Trump era lax/unenforced  cyber security protocols, especially those requiring coordinated inter agency efforts and data sharing.  Over a span of four years in office, Trump failed to hold adversaries including Russia accountable for hacking U.S. targets, removed experienced cyber-defenders from their posts for petty reasons and undermined much of the good work being done on cybersecurity within federal agencies, according to 71 percent of respondents to a Washington Post poll of data security experts (in and outside the Trump administration). The poll queried a panel of more than 100 cybersecurity experts who participate in an ongoing informal survey.

        In 2016, Trump, in the flurry of undoing Obama Executive Orders, overrode an Obama directive, written in 2012 which was a framework for a protocol for responding to cyber warfare. It met with mixed response because it constrained the various agencies involved to coordinate with one another prior reacting to threats. What concept, huh? Inter-agency cooperation

        In point of fact, the survey was conducted prior to the revelation of the most significant data security breach of the Trump administration — a hack linked to the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service, or SVR, that infected at least five federal agencies — the Commerce, Treasury, Homeland Security and State departments as well as the NIH as well as foreign governments and companies across the globe.

        The second is that most of the “ransom” paid by the operators of the Colonial Pipeline (The headline in yesterday’s CNN news read "U.S. recovers $2.3 million in bitcoin paid in the Colonial Pipeline ransom") was recovered by experts who were able to “hack” the bitcoin “wallet” of one of the hackers and retrieve the credits. (Note, this is an obvious shortcoming of crypto currencies, which exist only as electronic impulses).

        The third event ignored by the cartoonist (a well know and constant critic of anything nor Far Right) is the fact that assuming Biden would simply take the oath and would (or could, facing Congressional stalling) immediately fix all the myriad Trump Administration shortcomings is disingenuous at best.

         In fact, like any good leader, Biden gathered input from those who actually know things, rather than shoot from the hip claiming that he “knows more than anyone about… you name it," and then, using that expert input, formulated a coherent policy, Executive Order, and on May 12, six days after the Colonial Pipeline ransomware hack, issued the Order, entitled Executive Order on Improving the Nation’s Cybersecurity.   Make sure you get this point: Trump, having been made aware of Russian hackers and their efforts over four years, (see John Bolton’s insider book!) did essentially nothing to thwart those efforts or encourage or even allow development of a strategy for coping with such threats.

By contrast, the Biden Order, far too long to include here but available here:  https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/05/12/executive-order-on-improving-the-nations-cybersecurity/  is very specific in both scope and timelines for action.

The general tone of the directive is embodied in this summary paragraph of the introductory portion. “It is the policy of my Administration that the prevention, detection, assessment, and remediation of cyber incidents is a top priority and essential to national and economic security.  The Federal Government must lead by example.  All Federal Information Systems should meet or exceed the standards and requirements for cybersecurity set forth in and issued pursuant to this order.”

        In the interest of brevity, I will simply list several key areas of concern headings:

Sec. 2.  Removing Barriers to Sharing Threat Information. (Remember FBI and CIA pissing contests over 9/11 concerns?)

Sec. 3.  Modernizing Federal Government Cybersecurity. (This includes directives and timelines for moving to a “Zero Trust Architecture” for federal data systems.)

Sections 4 is administrative and software supply chain oriented.

Sec. 5.  Establishing a Cyber Safety Review Board. (self-explanatory, yep, there were provisions for one, but Trump failed to push the actual formation or agenda of it.

Sec. 6.  Standardizing the Federal Government’s Playbook for Responding to Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities and Incidents. (Yes, there was no Federal departmental standard “What the fuck do we do now?" plan even after Trump era Russian hacks were discovered)

The remainder is pretty much “Make it happen” and reemphasizes timelines and responsibilities.

        This represents more and more specific action in the realm of cyber security after less than 4 months than the entire Trump 4 years. Does this sound much like Barney Fife to you? Me Neither.

Friday, June 4, 2021

Even More Things Which Make me go "Huh?"

 

And Even More Things That Make Me Go, “Huh?”

        Amidst indignant screams from the far Right that stimulus checks (only the Biden ones, mind you) have enabled shiftless Americans to rely on unemployment and remain idle rather than go back to work, we find this AP news item: “US Jobless claims drop to 385,000 - A low for the pandemic” the article goes on to point out that this is actually the FIFTH STRAIGHT WEEK that such claims have dropped. What, you ask, could Republicans have been lying to us? Bet on it.

        Closer to home, but reflective of the same GOP venality, we have this tidbit from the same (Friday, June 4) daily rag: I shall reorganize for clarity. The governor of Florida miserably failed in most areas related to dealing with of Covid and is responsible for the South Florida spike because, like his idol, Donald Trump, he minimized the severity of Covid until so many Floridians began dying that he could no longer ignore it. Ron DeSantis whose nose gets hurt every time Trump stops abruptly, has now decided that CDC recommendations aimed at allowing cruise lines to resume operations are “too restrictive”. This is just one more case of a politician deciding that the health care professionals at the nation’s highest level are dunces.

        The CDC has already allowed cruising to restart on the Alaska /Northwest route but has laid out reasonable precautions to avoid another “plague ship” fiasco. These precautions include: The conditional sail order requires ships to make arrangements with ports for medical services in the event of a coronavirus outbreak as well as enact a long list of COVID-19 protections on board. The industry did not receive guidance on how to move forward to prove out ships’ safety protocols until May, and the CDC has adjusted its guidance on a near-weekly basis since then. That includes simulated sailings unless a ship sails with mostly vaccinated crew and passengers.

        These precautions are apparently too restrictive for the Gov, who has had his Attorney General/consigliere, Ashley Moody, file suit claiming that the CDC, by exercising/requiring reasonable precautions to allow the cruise industry to resume operations, has “overstepped its authority”. If the Florida suit gains traction in the federal courts, it could overturn the current Alaska restart or enable a rebirth of Covid because of relaxation of vaccination requirements, which is the real target of this suit.

        One thing we can count on with DeSantis; commerce and profit will always trump common sense and public safety. Claims of Florida having “done well” in the face of Covid are specious at best. In truth Florida had a higher death rate per 100,000 than California, largely due to a cavalier attitude exhibited at the top regarding beaches and masks. Even with a far larger undocumented population which was discouraged from seeking vaccination or treatment, California fared better than Florida.  The death rates in most of Florida’s major population centers resemble that of Los Angeles: Miami-Dade, the largest, has a rate of 210 deaths per 100,000, Palm Beach 173, Pinellas County (St. Petersburg) 156. If Disney and other tourist meccas had not issued mandatory mask requirements and, in some cases, shut down, ignoring DeSantis’ urgings to be open for business as usual, imagine what “super spreaders” they could have become!

        Finally, the supremely partisan and ignorant Stacey Dash, in an op-ed, claims that the Biden administration is “hurting Black families” by attempting to remove the current provision of the Hyde amendment the Hyde Amendment (a legislative provision barring the use of federal funds to pay for abortion except to save the life of the woman, or if the pregnancy arises from incest or rape.) The Hyde Amendment isn’t actually federal statute; the policy is not a permanent law, but rather has been attached as a temporary “rider” to the Congressional appropriations bill for the Department of Health and Human Services and has been renewed annually by Congress.

        Thwarted in attempts to enact a national abortion ban, legislators opted, instead to enact a discriminatory bar. Discriminatory because in America, despite the news that unintended pregnancy and abortion rates have fallen in the general population, abortions have becoming increasingly concentrated among poor women and black women. Women of color are more likely than white women to be insured by Medicaid and have higher rates of unintended pregnancy and abortion. In 2014, 75% of abortions were among low-income patients, and 64% were among black or Latina women.  Young adults and teens, who are less likely to have a steady source of income, make up the majority (72%) of abortion patients.

        Clearly, Ms. Dash has a stunted logic lobe in her brain, if she thinks the Hyde Amendment “protects” any sentient being. In fact, 16 states already allow state Medicare/Medicaid funds to pay for abortion. Understand that persons of means are relatively unaffected by the Hyde Amendment since they can afford to pay the cost of a procedure. Is essence, the Hyde Amendments’ provisions and prohibitions discriminate only against minorities and the poor in direct contravention of her claims.

        The fact is that Stacey Dash is opposed to abortion, as is her right. While I diametrically disagree, and, having no uterus, would never be directly affected, it is certainly her right to refuse to have a termination. It is, however an intensely personal and emotional issue from which the government would be better advised to remain aloof, and Ms. Dash’s opinion is valid only for her. Attempting to spin Biden’s efforts to lose the Hyde Amendment as “aimed at disadvantaging minorities” is rather more worthy of professional career liars such as Sean Hannity or Tucker Carlson.          

Wednesday, May 19, 2021

Retrospective and Commentary

 

Retrospective and Commentary

 

        So here we are, many of us inoculated, some refusing to accept vaccination. The reasoning of those who refuse the vaccine is so far beyond me that I can’t speculate beyond the obvious political division on the subject spawned and exacerbated by the former president. It strikes me as tragic and incredibly disappointing that the cult of Trump, which has spawned such insane buffoons as Marjorie Taylor Green, Josh Hawley and others, continues to influence Americans who cannot comprehend or accept the truth. That truth is simply that being vaccinated is by far the most sane and reasonable precaution one can take in this era of the plague.

        Make no mistake, the mindset among the vast majority of these folks (non vaxxers) is the product of 11 months of calculated misinformation piggybacked on four years of divisive political doctrine aimed at dividing the nation based on race, xenophobia and general disparagement by certain media of anything less than Far Right conservative.  Tragically, this was amplified by the opinions of talking heads who know nothing and are happy to share.  

        What follows is a brief timeline of this epic failure of leadership:

·       “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.” Trump, interview CNBC, 1/22/20

·       “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.” — Trump, interview with Sean Hannity, when asked how concerned he was about the coronavirus, 2/2/20

·       “Now the Democrats are politicizing the coronavirus. … One of my people came up to me and said, ‘Mr. President, they tried to beat you in Russia, Russia, Russia.’ That didn’t work out too well. conversation. They tried anything, they tried it over and over. … And this is their new hoax.” — Trump, campaign rally Charleston, S.C. 2/28/20

·       “This was unexpected. … And it hit the world. And we’re prepared, and we’re doing a great job with it. And it will go away. Just stay calm. It will go away.” — Trump, to reporters at the U.S. Capitol, 3/10/20 (28 deaths)          (the above was in addition to the complaints by Mitch McConnel, also false, that “this was unexpected” since the Obama staffers had run a pandemic scenario with 60 page playbook for the incoming Trump administration, one of whom was McConnell’s wife, incoming Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao)

·        “Nobody would ever believe a thing like that’s possible. Nobody could have ever seen something like this coming, but now we know, and we know it can happen and happen again.”  Trump at a task force briefing, claiming falsely that “No one saw a pandemic like the coronavirus coming.” 3/25/20   1,352 deaths to date (see parenthetical comments above)

        Here’s as good a place as any to assess the huge lie being told here by Trump: Speaking in Bethesda Md on December 2, 2014, President Barack Obama said: “There may and likely will come a time in which we have both an airborne disease that is deadly, and in order for us to deal with that effectively we have to put in place an infrastructure, not just here at home but globally, that allows us to see it quickly, isolate it quickly, respond to it quickly, so that if and when a new strain of flu like the Spanish flu crops up five years from now or a decade from now, we’ve made the investment and we’re further along to be able to catch it.” 

        Nearly a month earlier, on November 5, 2014, the Obama administration had asked lawmakers for $6.18 billion in emergency funds to enhance the government’s ability to respond to an outbreak of Ebola, which was an urgent situation at the time. The proposed legislation included $4.64 billion for immediate response and $1.54 billion as a contingency fund to ensure that there are resources available to meet the evolving nature of the epidemic. Predictably, facing a McConnell led ultra-conservative Congress with little appetite for big spending measures, this forward-looking proposal was pretty much dead on arrival. 

        Obama’s push for a national framework with installations and personnel ready to swoop in and confront/curtail an outbreak like the coronavirus met predictably fierce resistance, and funding for pandemics was forced to stay at the levels approved in 2010 through the end of Obama’s final term in office. Then: “We inherited a broken system,” Trump said in one his often repeated snide /derogatory references to the Obama administration, “But they also gave us empty cupboards. The cupboard was bare. You’ve heard the expression, ‘the cupboard was bare.’ So, we took over a stockpile with a cupboard that was bare,” Trump said this on April 6, 2020, less than a month after proudly announcing that: “We’re prepared, and we’re doing a great job with it.” What he omitted, was that the “stockpile” would have benefited from $321 million more in Obama's term than it ended up getting, because Republicans in Congress stuffed the legislation. 

·       “It’s going to be, really, a voluntary thing. You can do it. You don’t have to do it. I’m choosing not to do it, but some people may want to do it, and that’s OK. It may be good. Probably will. They’re making a recommendation. It’s only a recommendation.” — Trump, in a task force briefing where he announced the face mask recommendation, 4/3/20, 9,316 deaths to date. (by minimizing the efficacy of masks and personally refusing to wear one, this may have been the most criminally negligent action he had taken thus far)

·       "It looks like the coronavirus is being weaponized as yet another element to bring down Donald Trump," Rush Limbaugh said on his radio show. "Now, I want to tell you the truth about the coronavirus … I’m dead right on this. The coronavirus is the common cold, folks." 2/24/20 (the only truth here (now) are the words “I’m dead”)

·       HANNITY, March 9: "This scaring the living hell out of people -- I see it, again, as like, let's bludgeon Trump with this new hoax."

·       HANNITY, March 18: "By the way, this program has always taken the coronavirus seriously. We've never called the virus a hoax. (see above!)

So, where are we today? (5/19/2021) US cases: 32.9 million, deaths: 587,000 (more than the population of Wyoming). Did it have to be this bad? Almost assuredly not, but the continued barrages of falsehoods and minimizations of the true dangers from public figures from Evangelical pastors to Fox News talking heads to the POTUS helped make it so. 

      Today as we see new cases in the US steadily decreasing as our vaccination rate increases, the Covid pandemic continues wreaking havoc in such places as India where the medical establishment is simply overwhelmed.

      Here in the states, we now are being treated to Republicans nattering that some folks are loathe to return to their former jobs, even though hiring efforts are being made. What’s to blame? If you ask a Far Rightist, it’s “that damned Socialism.”

      Yep, they’re blaming the stimulus checks (but, apparently mostly those after the Trump disbursements) for giving those temporarily out if work a chance to reflect on where they are and where they’d like to be. Some of those who were working “no healthcare or benefits” jobs aren’t rushing back to those jobs. 

      Some have had the uh-oh moment of no healthcare coverage during a plague. Others have realized how much costly childcare spending so they could work a minimum wage job was further impoverishing them. Whatever the reason, the support (rightly) provided by Congress, however unwilling, in the form of stimulus payments, plus appropriate extension of unemployment benefits, has enabled many to step back, take a breath and evaluate the future of their working lives.

       Understand: the percentage of our fellow citizens who simply don’t want work hasn’t changed, and we will always have what in the Elizabethan age was called “the undeserving poor.” How we deal with them is and has been a continuing social issue, but for those sidelined involuntarily by Covid, judging them harshly for not eagerly flocking back to entry level jobs and seeking the possibility of a better life is …well, it’s so Republican, isn’t it?       

Wednesday, May 5, 2021

American (linguistic) Exceptionalism

 

American “Exceptionalism”

 

        While I find some things “American” not only unexceptional (racism, cultural bigotry, classism, “weaponized” religion) but, in too many cases deplorable, there are some things which are uniquely American. Many of these are in the area of language. I don’t mean just English, here, but more the idiomatic meanings we attach that make it difficult for a non-native speaker to figure out exactly what the hell the speaker means. Jeff Foxworthy has done this to, a great extent (and for  many yucks) for bastardized and mutilated redneck speech, so I won’t go there. However much remain to be discussed.

        “Critters,” as most of us know, refers to sentient non-human life forms. Most are unaware that the word stems from the word “Creature.” It’s just bad diction multiplied by years of abuse. Unlike “critters” which has standard English roots, America has spawned idioms which make no sense anywhere else. A Brit, getting into a car and hearing a passenger yell “Shotgun,” would probably duck and cover. The word stems from the American west and the guard riding beside the driver of a stagecoach with a shotgun for protection. How it evolved to modern automobiles is anyone’s guess. The same is true for “shotgun wedding” - a usage strictly American.

        Some more of these would include “lipstick on a pig,” (tart up something plain to create the illusion of relevance or value) and “break a bill” (ask for change).  “Fanny pack” takes more explanation. “Fanny” in real English refers to the forward most lady bits. Somehow, over time, the term in US “English” came to mean the after part. Asking the wrong Londoner for a “fanny pack” might cause trouble.

        Then there’s “Jump the Shark,” as in “I think American Idol Jumped the Shark when Adam Lambert lost!”  Plenty of Americans also don't totally “get” why we use this phrase to describe when a TV show or some other work goes on longer than it should. The phrase originated with an event in a 1977 episode of the sitcom Happy Days in which Fonzie jumps over a shark while on water-skis. Since the “stunt” was considered gratuitous and sensational it gradually became used to describe any episode of a television comedy with a gimmick or unlikely occurrence desperately attempting to keep viewers' interest in the series' run. It has since become a kind of derisive shorthand for when something ceases to be culturally relevant—or any good, but only in America!

     “First base/ second base,” as most US teenagers know, are euphemisms for stages of attempts (usually adolescent) at seduction of the fairer sex. Elsewhere they are the cause of blank stares, although the “base” part is becoming more widely understood in Australia and Britain (but not in the same context) as American baseball is becoming more popular both places. 

        As far as I am able to determine, if any group of people from various cultures were forced to consume feces (stay with me here) only Americans (if any) would “grin.”  A possible but anecdotal source for this one is that the expression “shit-eating grin” may refer to the expression that appears on a dog’s face when it’s caught gobbling up a pile of fecal material deposited by another animal. We’ve all seen how a dog can curl up its lips in a semblance of a grin. And we’ve also seen dogs whose buffet could be found in a cat’s litter box. Either way, it’s a sheepish grin caused by being caught in the act. (Or maybe the lip motion helps clean the stuff off their teeth.)

        Also, in most cultures where English is spoken, it is considered unnecessary to stipulate “Horseback riding” since there really is no other place to sit while participating.

        Other examples include “piece of cake,” which probably derives from a line in "The Primrose Path," a 1935 poetry collection by American humorist Ogden Nash: "Her picture's in the papers now, and life's a piece of cake." Brits don’t get it. Even more lost on the rest of the English-speaking world are some sport specifics such as “Monday morning quarterbacking” for second guessing a decision already made and acted on, and “ballpark figure” used for “guesstimation”.

        It might surprise many that “break a leg,” in widespread use in the theater, is uniquely American and first appeared in print in a 1948 newspaper article. There is speculation that it devolved from a Hebrew blessing, "hatzlakha u-brakha" ("success and blessing”) and likely entered the current lexicon via Yiddish, widely spoken by Jewish immigrants in the American theatrical community.

        I’ll close with a scatological reference. We often say that a thing, idea or whatever which we devalue, don’t like, or disrespect is “for the birds.”  It has no similar meaning anywhere else. It is generally attributed to US Army personnel who, seeing birds enthusiastically pecking at horse droppings, decided that anything analogous to horseshit was, well, you get the picture.

        If I was going to autograph this poor screed, I might say I would affix “my John Hancock” which has no meaning to any other culture than American, since Hancock was the American statesman whose lavish and large signature is seen on the 1776 U.S. Declaration of Independence document. Not a high point with Brits.

Sunday, May 2, 2021

Qualified Immunity; What It Is and What It Isn't.

 

Qualified Immunity: What It Is and What It Isn’t

        I was rather surprised, the other day to read the headline of an OP-ED in our local paper. It wasn’t actually the headline content but rather the author, one Star Parker. Ms., Parker is one of several young, bright, Black Conservatives who have made their names by being just that - the unlikely Trump supporting minority he disdains, (and said so prior to running for office!)

        In brief, Ms. Parker wrote on the subject of Qualified Immunity (QI for brevity) and the ills within that policy. Sadly, she tried to forge a direct link between that doctrine and the “murder by cop” of George Floyd, linking the doctrine to the homicide as if they were cause and effect. It’s just not that simple.

        Without a doubt, the killing of George Floyd and in large measure, the nationwide media coverage of protests in its wake, have put a spotlight on the legal doctrine of qualified immunity. Left unsaid in most circles is that QI wasn’t really at issue in the prosecution of former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin and the three other former officers who face criminal charges stemming from Floyd’s death. That said, however, it is one of many structural factors that can make it difficult to hold police officers accountable for wrongdoing. This was not at question in the Floyd case, either. The Floyd murder, on the other hand was so egregious and controversial that the City Council of Minneapolis agreed to pay $27 million to settle a civil lawsuit from George Floyd’s family over his death in police custody, even as jury selection continued in Derek Chauvin’s murder trial!  

        Ok, what, then is the doctrine of Qualified Immunity? QI is a judicially created doctrine that shields (all) government officials (not just cops) from being held personally liable for constitutional violations—for monetary damages under federal law so long as the officials did not violate “clearly established” statutory or constitutional rights of which a reasonable person would have known.”

        The decision in the landmark case of Harlow v. Fitzgerald (1982) framed the articulation of QI which prevails today. Previous interpretations had revolved around the “subjective good faith” of the officer who committed the alleged violation, but in Harlow, the court adopted a new test framed in “objective terms.” In Harlow, the court established that a plaintiff could overcome QI only by showing that the defendant’s conduct “violate[d] clearly established statutory or constitutional rights of which a reasonable person would have known.” (remember this)

        While being obvious that the new “definition” was intended to be more protective of government officials than the “subjective good faith” test, the court also stated that the standard “provide[d] no license to lawless conduct.”  Since Harlow, however, application and interpretation of that doctrine the courts have applied the doctrine in three distinct ways that have made it more favorable to government defendants, and much more difficult for plaintiffs seeking redress. Remember, all this applies to freedom from civil litigation, not criminal prosecution, as many seem to think. So, the three roadblocks?

        First, in order to show that the law was “clearly established,” the court has generally required plaintiffs to point to an already existing judicial decision (precedent) with substantially similar facts. This essentially means that the first person to litigate a specific harm is out of luck since the specific right violated wouldn’t be “clearly established.” For example: The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit heard the following case: A SWAT team fired tear gas grenades into a plaintiff’s home, causing extensive damage. And while the three-judge panel assumed that the SWAT officers had in fact violated the plaintiff’s Fourth Amendment rights, it nonetheless granted QI to the officers because it determined that the precedents the plaintiff relied on did not clearly establish a violation “at the appropriate level of specificity.” (“We never had a tear gas/SWAT case before…tough shit, plaintiffs.”)

        Second, in Pearson v. Callahan (2009), the Supreme Court altered the way in which courts apply the doctrine in a manner that created another significant obstacle for civil rights plaintiffs. Previously, the Supremes, in Saucier v. Katz (2001), had ruled that  when assessing a qualified immunity defense, courts must first determine whether there was a violation of a constitutional right and then move on to analyze whether the law was clearly established. But in Pearson, the justices reversed course, allowing courts to grant QI based only on the clearly established and specific action by police (or other government actor-ATF anyone?) without ever determining if there was a constitutional violation, creating a “Catch-22” for civil rights plaintiffs. In the words of a dissenting judge: “No precedent = no clearly established law = no liability.” And according to a recent study conducted by Reuters: “Plaintiffs in excessive force cases against police have had a harder time getting past QI since.”

(An example of what this can mean:  When a police officer shot a 10-year-old child accidentally while trying to shoot a nonthreatening family dog, the Eleventh Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals held that the officer was entitled to QI because no earlier case held it was unconstitutional for a police officer to recklessly fire his gun into a group of children without justification.)

        Third, the Supreme Court’s definition of a “reasonable officer” has morphed since Harlow (1982 to grant government officials even greater deference and latitude. In a 1986 decision, the Supremes wrote that qualified immunity protects “all but the plainly incompetent or those who knowingly violate the law.” Since then, the Supreme Court has stated that a defendant’s conduct is to be judged on the basis of “any reasonable officer” or “every reasonable official”—“thus implying,” as one critic wrote, “that in order for a plaintiff to overcome QI, the right violated must be so clear that its violation in the plaintiff’s case would have been obvious not just to the average ‘reasonable officer’ but to the least informed, least reasonable ‘reasonable officer.’”  Could this have been a civil defense for the three who watched Derek Chauvin kill George Floyd?

        Unsurprisingly, both Justice Sotomayor and the late, great RBG, with (surprisingly) unlikely ally Justice Thomas, have been critical of the wide scope of QI. Justice Sotomayor wrote: (Qualified Immunity is) “A one-sided approach” that “transforms the doctrine into an absolute shield for law enforcement officers”— in an opinion, which Justice Ginsburg joined. As Sotomayor put it, qualified immunity “sends an alarming signal to law enforcement officers and the public. It tells officers that they can shoot first and think later, and it tells the public that palpably unreasonable conduct will go unpunished.”

Summary: So what? It’s (QI) just about civil damages anyway, huh? While that is true, reflect on this: would Derek Chauvin have been convicted (or even charged without video and numerous eyewitness testimonies? What if the same sequence of events had happened on a largely empty street at night?

        QI does apply only in civil lawsuits and not criminal prosecutions. But: such civil suits are the only means by which individuals or their families can get compensation for the violation of their constitutional or civil rights. And, in practice, civil lawsuits are often the only means to seek justice at all because prosecutors—themselves government workers—are typically reluctant to bring criminal charges against their government colleagues, especially police officers who are crucial to the work prosecutors do on a daily basis.

Assuming that QI assures there won’t be a civil suit with the possibility of a verdict of negligence or even wrongdoing by police, therefore no huge payout by the legislative authority, makes it (safer/easier/more convenient) to not charge police for criminal actions. Only the broad daylight and documented negligent actions of three bad cops in allowing the murderous activities of one truly heinous cop made Minneapolis decide to not even wait for a QI decision in the civil suit which was sure to come and sure to be decided in the Floyd family’s favor. The city’s acknowledgement of liability made it SOOO much easier for prosecutors to decide “Screw the “Blue Wall,” indict this murdering scumbag.”

        In discussing Qualified Immunity and, in her defense, alleging that it needs to go or at least be redefined, Ms. Parker chose the wrong case to make the right statement. So why eliminate QI? 

        First, it would return the Constitution to its proper place as a limit on government actions by making it possible for individuals to enforce the Constitution against government workers. (QI, or even the concept, is absent from the Constitution.)

         Additionally, its absence would encourage governments at all levels to take more responsibility for the actions of their employees. Since the government’s insurance company almost always pays the bill if/when an officer is found personally liable for violating someone’s rights, if qualified immunity is removed, governments would be forced to pay higher premiums, unless they took an active role in reducing civil and constitutional rights violations. It seems shameful that financial liability might have more effect in this area than conscience and the idea of equal protection, but there you are. For police, this might include providing de-escalation training and instituting robust use-of-force policies. In other words, a world without qualified immunity could mean a world where the government has a stake in making sure its employees follow the Constitution.

        Finally, although ending qualified immunity wouldn’t solve all problems of police abuse1, it would unquestionably be an improvement. And unlike other proposals for police reform, eliminating qualified immunity would immediately apply to all government workers and could be accomplished either by the U.S. Supreme Court or Congress.

 

1. I have written at length in my blog about police violence and the mindset leading to it in many instances. When bullied kids become cops, they are still bullies. When someone who has been bullied becomes a cop, it can be even worse. The psychological eval to be a law enforcement officer should be the toughest obstacle, not just a minor annoyance.  I defer in this matter to Congresswoman Val Demings, former Orlando Police Chief. In a May 29, 2020 OPED in the Washington Post, she said this, in part: The eye-catching title was:

My fellow brothers and sisters in blue, what the hell are you doing?

        “When an officer engages in stupid, heartless and reckless behavior, their actions can either take a life or change a life forever. Bad decisions can bring irrevocable harm to the profession and tear down the relationships and trust between the police and the communities they serve. Remember, law enforcement needs that trust just as the public does. Think before you act! Remember, your most powerful weapon is the brain the good Lord gave you. Use it!

        Law enforcement officers are granted remarkable power and authority. They are placed in complicated and dangerous situations. They respond to calls from people with their own biases and motives. In New York, we’ve recently seen past pains of the Central Park Five dredged up in a new attempt to misuse law enforcement against an African American man. When you see people differently, you treat them differently. And when power is in the mix, tragedy can result.

        As law enforcement officers, we took an oath to protect and serve. And those who forgot — or who never understood that oath in the first place — must go. That includes those who would stand by as they witness misconduct by a fellow officer.

 As a nation, we must conduct a serious review of hiring standards and practices, diversity, training, use-of-force policies, pay and benefits (remember, you get what you pay for), early warning programs, and recruit training programs. Remember, officers who train police recruits are setting the standard for what is acceptable and unacceptable on the street.”

                                 Amen