1. Privatization
of Social security is a good idea.
Not long after
his second inauguration, and in fact, as a talking point for years previous, President George W. Bush had advocated the
privatization of Social Security. Following his successful 2004 reelection
campaign, he again designated fundamental Social Security reform as his top
domestic priority, with Karl Rove as his mouthpiece. This was not an impulsive
decision. As early as his 1978 congressional race, Bush had suggested that the Social Security System
could not be sustained unless individuals were allowed to invest the payroll
tax themselves. Overriding the doubts of some political advisors, he raised the
issue while announcing his first (2000) presidential race, declaring that
"We should trust Americans by giving them the option of investing part of
their Social Security contributions in private accounts." Mitt Romney and
Paul Ryan have voiced similar opinions in 2012.
The subtext and
a typical Far Right tactic, is to infer that the present system somehow
"doesn't trust" citizens, an assumption which resembles science
fiction in its stretch of reality yet is guaranteed to appeal to some
percentage of the public. Bush cited fiscal and demographic pressures moving the
system toward eventual bankruptcy. (unless other far more reasonable and safe
changes, which didn't involve privatization were taken, an omission of convenience).
He listed some basic principles and then reached the nub of the matter:
"As we fix Social Security, we also have the responsibility to make the
system a better deal for younger workers. And the best way to reach that goal
is through voluntary personal retirement accounts." This approach, the
President argued, would offer younger workers a "better deal": The
rate of return would be higher than in the traditional system; the accumulation
could be passed on to children and grandchildren; and "best of all, the
money in this account is yours, and the government can never take it
away."
At this point,
note the thinly veiled scare tactic regarding the government "taking it away!" Fifty years previous, then President Dwight Eisenhower, himself a Republican, had spoken re: the
sanctitity of Social Security (abbreviated SS for brevity hereafter). He said, "Should any political party
attempt to abolish social security, unemployment insurance and eliminate labor
laws and farm programs, you would not hear of that party again in our political
history. There is a tiny splinter group, of course, that believes that you can
do these things. Among them are a few Texas oil millionaires, and an occasional
politician or businessman from other areas. Their number is negligible and they
are stupid." He could well
have been describing the 2004 occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, inasmuch as
privatization represents a tentative
first step in that direction!
Enough posturing,
however, what really is wrong with privatizing
SS? Let's start with the myth that private corporations can manage more
efficiently than a government entity. Look no further than Canada for an example and contrast. Canada
manages their entire national health system with just about the same staff as
Blue Cross uses in Massachusetts!
Private
accounts implies one of two scenarios, both with serious drawbacks.
The first - that
those choosing to use private accounts would be free to have their money sent to any investment firm,
then chose and use any vehicle that struck their fancy. Assuming they had the
entire gamut of markets available, that could well mean that US funds (SS sent
to investment houses) were invested in foreign markets. It also could well mean
that some Americans, led on by persons like Bernie Maddoff ended up defrauded out of their money, or in the event of a collapse
such as occurred in 2008. Upon investigation the U.S. Senate's
Levin–Coburn Report yielded the following opinion, concluded that the crisis was the result of "high
risk, complex financial products; undisclosed conflicts of interest; the
failure of regulators, the credit rating agencies, and the market itself to
rein in the excesses of Wall Street" and concluded that the
financial crisis was avoidable and was caused by "widespread failures in
financial regulation and supervision," "dramatic failures of corporate
governance and risk management at many systemically important financial
institutions" And Bush
wanted to trust what would surely be billions of dollars in SS money to this gambler's
paradise? Why not just let 'em go to Vegas. Of course the corporate gamblers, indicted in the above Senate committee opinion were bailed out as
"too big to fail," multi-million salaries and bonuses unimpaired by their
greed induced failure.
Want a real
world example? Ok assume that in an alternate universe with privatization of SS
a middle class wage earning family chose what would normally be considered a really safe investment plan,
using any of numerous major financial
companies' annuity plans. in 7 months in 2008, they could have watched their conservative
investment choices lose 54% of their pre crash value. Tough, huh? For
the next year they would have watched their financial fortunes hover below 65%
of pre-crash value, while their neighbor on SS received full benefits. If this
family picked January 2008 to retire, they might really, really rue that
decision by year's end. Doing the math, for example, and assuming a pre crash private
annuity account (Vice SS) of $500,000 the return per month for (25 years certain and
remaining funds yield 5%) would be $2922 monthly. Post crash, the same starting value would have
dropped almost overnight (weeks, actually) to $230,000, with a monthly payout (same terms) of $1344, and even
if markets rebound, this figure is whatever it was when annuitized even if markets rebound! Social Security is a
guaranteed benefit plan, private investment is a guaranteed contribution with
no guarantee of return.
The second
concern is that instead of allowing investment with the tax payer's choice of financial firms, the government
might specify which firms or which types of investment were allowed, to the exclusion of others. How many
lobbying bucks do we thing might flow to assure being one of the chosen firms?
This is an open invitation to corruption. Finally, even if the investment were
something as prosaic as money market funds tied to the Federal Funds or T bill rate,
the yield would actually (over the last 4 years) have lost money when inflation
is taken into account.
Here, instead of hyperbole, are some real numbers. Among
current workers and retirees, the rates of annual return varied by about two
percentage points - from a high of 6.52 percent (for single-earning couples
born in 1920) to 4.52 percent (for their counterparts born in 1985). Remember, Social Security is the most reliable
investment in town. Try finding a CD paying 4.2% - guaranteed for as long as
you live!
Of course the dirty little "oh by the way" is that
every dollar risked in private investment is one less dollar in the pool for
those who choose (and will truly need) the surety SS currently represents. The
real winners in any serious privatization of SS would be the same gang of corporate
opportunists responsible for the 2008 crash! In closing, just one question. Have you ever heard anyone espouse
privatization who has any chance of actually needing Social Security when they retire?
I didn't think so.
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