Saturday, September 4, 2021

The Quagmire - 20 years after 9/11

 

        I will be traveling Saturday, September 11, 2021.  I will however, I’m sure, still reflect on the day 20 years ago when the minions of Al-Qaeda hijacked four US commercial aircraft and…., well, we all know the rest. The recent furor over US withdrawal from Afghanistan has, for me at least, made some related issues resurface.

                    First some inarguable facts:

·       Al Qaeda was (is) partially funded by Saudi money, specifically money from Bin Laden Construction which was allowed to get into the hands of Osama bin Laden, who in turn was in thrall to the extreme Wahabi sectarians in Saudi Arabia. Wahhabism is an Islamic revivalist movement that started within Sunni Islam, and it is associated with the teachings of Muhammad ibn Abd al-Wahab. It has been variously described as "orthodox", "puritan"; and as an Islamic "reform movement" to restore "pure monotheistic worship" by devotees. (think Westboro Baptist without the burkas) Its influence in the reason the Saudi “royal” family has backslid towards conservatism at home in an attempt to keep Wahabi support in the general populace.

     Bin Laden subscribed to the idea that western involvement in The Kingdom and the middle East in general was evil. His motivation was fanned by US support of Israel. This led to his 9/11 plot.

       Following the 9/11 attacks, even though he was Saudi, it is likely bin Laden realized that financial ties between the kingdom and the US, especially the Royal family’s fairly cordial relations with the Bush family, father and son, made it advisable to go elsewhere and where better than Afghanistan?·

       President G.W. Bush, after making the ludicrous claim in a nationally televised speech that “They hate our freedom” (instead of our presence in their region and long- term support of Israel) demands Afghanistan turn over bin Laden to the US.

·       Bin Laden was protected by the Afghans, who refused to release him to the US, even though there was no doubt he was the 9/11 architect.

·       October 17th, US bombing of Afghanistan begins. The first wave of conventional ground forces arrives twelve days later. The Bush-specified reason for US presence was to "get" bin Laden, nothing more.

·       November, the UN votes to use international “peacekeepers” to help Afghan troops opposed to Al Qaeda and their new ally, the Taliban

·       December 2001: Bin Laden Escapes to Pakistan. After tracking bin Laden to the Tora Bora cave complex, Afghan militias engage in a two-week battle (December 3 to 17) with al-Qaeda militants. It results in a few hundred deaths and the eventual escape of bin Laden, who is thought to have left for Pakistan on horseback on December 16—just a day before Afghan forces capture twenty of his remaining men. Despite intelligence (monitoring of bin Laden’s unsecured radio transmissions) confirming bin Laden’s presence in Tora Bora, the assault was carried out poorly and too late by a ragtag Afghan contingent.  Some critics will later question why U.S. forces did not take a more assertive role in the engagement. It will later be revealed in a report to the Senate Intelligence committee that, then Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld, after consultation with VP Cheney, ordered US commanders in the field who were eager to take out bin Laden to “stand down so we don’t offend our allies” The great mystery remains as to exactly which allies were being referred to. A cynical individual such as I might think he meant the Saudis.

        **********************************

       At this point, the US mission in Afghanistan and our reason for being there as declared by the President was over. US deaths beyond this point are attributable to attempts to shore up Bush 43’s reelection efforts for 2004. Instead, Bush would, in furtherance of his flagging “war leader” image, not only remain in Afghanistan, but on false pretense invade Iraq and engage in the “nation building” which his Vice President, Cheney, had warned his father, Bush 41, to avoid at all costs.

        As a result, 2,372 US servicemen died in the 18 plus years we slogged through an unwinnable war in a place known as the "Graveyard of Empires". The politics of Afghanistan is a quagmire of religious zealotry, tribal/ethnic conflicts and resembles central Africa more than central Asia. Add to this, the fact that the US found itself attempting to build a consensus government out of corrupt politicians, and in several cases, former drug lords. In one year, by actual calculation, 28% of the Afghan GDP was lost to graft and bribery! This became more pressing when Donald Trump contemplated inviting the Taliban to come to camp David, which would, in the eyes of many Afghans, legitimize them. This harebrained idea, by the way, was the last straw for Trump National Security Advisor Bolton, who resigned in protest.

        To end the bleeding, President Biden made a decision which, unlike Trump or Bush, was based on doing the right thing, not the popular one. Only Afghans can alter the course of their nation, and whatever that course becomes, it needs to be determined by those who must live with it, not an alien (in so many ways) foreign interloper.

  

9/11 commission

 

    The 9/11 Commission was established by Congress to “Prepare a full and complete account of the circumstances surrounding the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, including preparedness for and the immediate response to the attacks.” While that verbiage sounds reasonable, we must reflect that a Republican controlled Congress was establishing a process which could possibly (and as we now know, should) have resulted in some negative opinions of Republican Presidential actions before and after the attacks. Members were appointed by President George W. Bush and the United States Congress, which led to the criticism that the Commission was not independent. The Commission stated in its report that their "aim has not been to assign individual blame", a judgment which some critics believed would obscure the facts of the matter in a nod to consensus politics. Bulleted below are brief details of some concerns and why we didn’t hear them:

·       Members of the Commission, as well as its executive director Philip Zelikow, had conflicts of interest. There are numerous claims in print that Zelikow had far closer ties with the White House than he publicly disclosed and that he tried to influence the final report in ways that limited the Bush administration’s responsibility and furthering its anti-Iraq agenda.

·       Although he pledged to have no contact with either National Security advisor Condoleezza Rice or White House political director Karl Rove, his phone log revealed that Zelikow had at least four private conversations with Rice and appears to have had many frequent telephone conversations with people in the White House.

·       One Book on the subject reports that some panel staffers believed Zelikow stopped them from submitting a report depicting Rice's and Bush's performance as "amounting to incompetence or something not far from it".

·       While President Bush and Vice President Cheney did ultimately agree to testify, they did so only under several conditions, including being allowed to testify jointly, not under oath, no recording of any kind would be saved, and notes would never be made public, all these of course lead to “keep the stories straight and lie if you wish.”

 

·       NORAD  had maintained that that US air defenses had reacted quickly, that jets had been scrambled in response to the last two hijackings and that fighters were prepared to shoot down United Airlines Flight 93 if it threatened Washington, D.C., but in truth, audiotapes from NORAD's Northeast headquarters and other evidence showed clearly that the military never had any of the hijacked airliners in its sights and at one point chased a phantom aircraft—American Airlines Flight 11—long after it had crashed into the World Trade Center. Maj. Gen. Larry Arnold and Col. Alan Scott told the commission that NORAD had begun tracking United 93 at 9:16 a.m., but the commission determined that the airliner was not even hijacked until 12 minutes later. According to later testimony, the military was not aware of the flight until after it had crashed in Pennsylvania.

·       Finally, The National Security Whistleblowers Coalition, consisting of former FBI, NSA and other federal intelligence experts, claim the 9/11 Commission report was fundamentally flawed because the Commission refused to hear, ignored, or censored testimony about the many pre–September 11 warnings given to the FBI and US intelligence agencies. At the heart of a laundry list of claims was the continuing allegations by various senior military intelligence officers that a clandestine, highly classified cross-service, military program which we now know was called Able Danger (came out during commission testimony) presented warnings of Al Qaeda cells in the US and named some names including Mohammed Atta, the ringleader of the September 11 attacks. They alerted the CIA as early as January 2000, but were rebuffed by the CIA’s apparent concern that the military would “steal their thunder.”

 

·       Operation Dark Heart by Anthony A. Shaffer, released in September 2010, includes memories of his time reporting to the 9/11 commission about Able Danger's findings. The 10,000 copies of the books have not been released yet. The DOD's Defense Intelligence Agency reviewers identified more than 200 passages suspected of containing classified information. "Specifically, the DIA wanted references to a meeting between Lt. Col. Tony Shaffer, the book's author, and the executive director of the 9/11 Commission, Philip Zelikow, removed". DOD took the highly unusual step of purchasing all available copies of Shaffer's book at a cost of $47,000 and destroying them to deny the public the ability to read the book.

 So, here we are, coming up on 20 years later. The fog of history has masked to great extent the Bush 43 administration’s failure to react to warnings including a Clinton Security brief to the Bush incoming department heads, largely ignored by Ms. Rice and her Boss, warning of a new threat – Al Qaeda.  Ms. Rice has diametrically contradicted herself in later years as to who knew what and what did they know? It isn’t pretty. The list of Q & A responses  Ms. Rice gave the commission, which she later controverted is too long for this essay, but can be read here: 

https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/news/2004/04/08/719/claim-vs-fact-rices-qa-testimony-before-the-911-commission/

It is a veritable litany of Bush Administration incompetence.  Are we safer now than 20 years ago? One can only hope.

Monday, August 23, 2021

"A Florida Man"

     Usually an essay which starts "A Florida Man" can be trusted to be about stupid human tricks. Not so this one, which is about something much worse - a Florida Governor who should be disembowled with a rusty gravy ladle.


    And now for something so venal that I found it almost hard to believe until I considered the moral bankruptcy of the individual in question: 

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has been criticized for efforts to ban mask mandates and vaccine passports. He has resisted forcing students, many of whom are under age 12 and ineligible for the vaccine, to wear masks during the upcoming school year. He has threatened to withhold funding from any school districts that don't let parents choose whether their children wear masks, though several counties have ignored the threat and kept their mask mandates or imposed new requirements.

         In the first case, having been an in school, high school, mentor/volunteer during the early stages (2020) of the pandemic, I am well aware that mask mandates work. Wildwood Middle/High school had a tiny number of student cases of Covid, and all were required to wear masks and the rule was enforced. Leap forward to the present following the “no mask mandate” directive.

        In Hillsborough County alone, the number of students and staff quarantined after exposure to the virus surged again on Thursday, August 19th. As of 3 p.m., more than 12,300 students and staff were told to stay at home under the district’s quarantine guidelines. The School Board voted to adopt a mandatory mask approach, despite the ban on said mandates, and were immediately attacked in media by DeSantis. This recalcitrance on the governor’s part is simply a continuation of the Trump approach to Covid – “Minimize the threat and find a way to profit.” Whereas in Trump’s case the “profit” (if any) came as possible positive poll ratings for looking knowledgeable and brave while being neither, DeSantis is even more base and depraved.

        I didn’t believe it was possible, but Ron DeSantis has one-upped (or "one downed"?) Donald Trump. Not only does he apparently not care if Florida’s school children get sick. but, “Should they become carriers of Covid and take it home to Nana, here’s what you do…” 

        DeSantis has been touring the state touting a COVID-19 antibody treatment in which a top donor’s company has invested millions of dollars. Death Satan has been promoting the effectiveness of Regeneron, a monoclonal antibody treatment. Make sure you get that: The guy who issued an executive order in an attempt to forbid local school superintendents and boards from protecting students by requiring masks has apparently adopted a new philosophy which is:  "You can't do something cheap which works, but if the inevitable happens, I recommend this new and expensive treatment."   Here’s the rub: Medicare and most insurers are waiving treatment costs, but only because the government is paying for the Regeneron itself, which adds to the bloated national debt, already a disgusting Trump legacy. That said, a mask would be far cheaper, huh?  But why so keen on Regeneron?

        Filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission show that Citadel, a Chicago-based hedge fund, has $15.9 million in shares of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals as well as options to buy its stock. Citadel CEO Ken Griffin has donated a verified $10.75 million to a political committee that supports DeSantis. Griffin is a Harvard guy, as is DeSantis and a Floridian, and DeSantis has rarely met a wealthy donor for whom he wouldn’t bend and spread! No one has yet been able to determine if rumors of Mrs. DeSantis also owning Regeneron stock are baseless or true. Any bets?


Friday, August 20, 2021

Parallels

 

        The issue of teaching critical race issue (or not) has an earlier parallel, at least for me as an older History teacher. That was the issue of US involvement in Southeast Asia. I had enlisted in the US Navy 1964, in large part because I believed the US involvement in Vietnam to be misguided and flawed policy (and my draft number was up). 34 years later, as an Advanced Placement United States (APUS) History teacher, I sometimes had students whose fathers or other male relatives had been personally involved in the 20-year undeclared war.  I realized that simply stating a personal opinion related to my feelings on the war could upset one or two students whose sole source of information was highly personalized by a close family member, and I would not want that to occur.

        This concern actually arose a year or two earlier in an Honors class.  We were watching Peter Jennings’ superb 2000 ten-part documentary entitled The Century. This was the 20th century in photos and interviews with those who lived events, decade by decade. During the segment involving Viet Nam, several Americans were interviewed, including Vice Admiral James Stockdale, the longest imprisoned US POW. In the interview, the Admiral stated that he had been flying over the area in the Gulf of Tonkin where and at the time which LBJ would later claim a US destroyer was fired upon by North Vietnamese small craft. He stated categorically that the attack, used by the Johnson administration as justification for ramping up the war effort, simply never happened. We know now, based partly on (then LBJ’s SecDef) Bob McNamara’s soul salvaging attempt in the film, The Fog of War, that the attack, presented to a national TV audience by LBJ, was fiction and pro-escalation propaganda. After the video was finished, one female student was very indignant in proclaiming that the Gulf of Tonkin Incident was “real” because her father who was in the Navy told her so. (It turned out later that he was stateside at the time.)  

        Having said that, let me point out that by that responsible use of truly primary source information one can get the point across in a much less offensive (or at least confrontational) manner. This is primarily about Vietnam but has disturbing parallels to the current Afghan situation. I will use three primary source telegrams as examples. Because a couple are difficult to read as a I copied them, I will type the text and attribute it:     

First, a telegram from Ho Chi Minh to Harry Truman:

Hanoi February 28 1946

President Hochiminh Vietnam Democratic Republic Hanoi

To the President of the United States of America Washington, D. C.

        On behalf of Vietnam government and people I beg to inform you that in course of conversation between Vietnam government and French representatives, the latter require the secession of Cochinchina (ed: Vietnam) and the return of French troops in Hanoi. (Stop) Meanwhile French population and troops are making active preparations for a coup de main (ed: “armed takeover”) in Hanoi and for military aggression (stop) I therefore most earnestly appeal to you personally and to the American people to interfere urgently in support of our independence and help making(sic) the negotiations more in keeping with of the Atlantic and San Francisco charters’

                                   Respectfully

                                             Hochiminh

                             (cursive signature in Latin alphabet)

        During the year prior to his death, FDR had made clear to associates his distaste for the French dominion in SE Asia and his opposition to allowing it to be reinstated after the War. Tragically, none of it was written in any sort of policy document. So: what were the “charters” Ho refers to?     

        The Atlantic Charter was a document entered into by FDR and Churchill which called for, among other principles, an end to colonialism as a by- product of WWII. Most importantly, both the United States and Great Britain were committed to supporting the restoration of self-governments for all countries that had been occupied during the war and allowing all peoples to choose their own form of government.  And… although a bit grudgingly, Britain did rid itself of India within 2 years, creating Pakistan, in the process. Ho is simply asking President Truman to hold the French to that same principle. The second Charter mentioned is the charter of the United Nations which was signed in San Francisco, in June of 1945, and also carries negative language related to colonialism. Although signators, several European colonial powers, especially France, and Belgium, chafed at this. Belgium, which had been brutally exploitative in the Congo was especially resistant. France, with significant holdings in Algeria and Southeast Asia was also hesitant to let go but, in fact, there had been a British presence in India and the British army, with a significant number of Indian nationals, both Islamic and Hindu, had defended India throughout. France, on the other hand, had abandoned Indochina, and now intended to take it back, by force if necessary.

        There is a wide abyss between what many in the US believed about Vietnam and Ho Chi Minh because of something we are seeing today, which is the blame game played by the minority party. One need understand that there was positive, almost ghoulish, private jubilation among Far-Right Republicans over FDR’s passing, while most Americans, but not most Republicans, saw him as a minor deity. Stirring the fires of anti-Communist hysteria became the new Congressional sport and, President by happenstance, Harry S Truman and his administration, the targets of choice. Obviously, the Ho telegram was ignored, presumably because of HO’s politics and Harry  Truman’s desire not to look in any way sympathetic to a communist. The message itself remains a sad example of what happens when people become secondary to political persuasion.

        Through WWII the Democrats held a significant Congressional majority, as most Americans supported FDR’s conduct of the war.       When The GOP gained control briefly in the 88th Congress during 1947-49, even such stalwarts as Truman's main foreign policy advisor 1945-1947, especially regarding the Cold War, and later SecState, Dean Acheson (slandered by the right as “The Red Dean”) came under the lash of the GOP Red baiters. There seemed to be a sort of “Wait ‘til Truman has gone because he sure as hell can’t get elected on his own” spirit among GOP hard liners, but Democrats regained the majority in 1948, swept along with an unexpected Truman victory, while Republicans began playing the “Soft on Communism” card, which game would really gain major league status after Truman’s surprise 1948 upset win,    

        But one need ask, “What did the experts really think was the danger posed by Communism, and why?”  probably the best primary source, at least an expert opinion, came to Washington in a document known to most historians as “The Long Telegram.”

        George Kennan must be mentioned in this discussion because he was influential in shaping opinions on dealing with Communism and the reversing course when his concept became Truman foreign policy. As Head of Mission In Moscow, Kennan felt that his opinions were being ignored by Truman and the State department policy wonks. He tried numerous times to persuade policymakers to abandon plans for cooperation with the Soviet government in favor of a “sphere of influence” policy in Europe to reduce the Soviets' power there. Finally, when the Treasury Department posed him a question regarding Soviet resistance to involvement in the World Bank, on February 22, 1946, Kennan vented his frustration by sending a lengthy 5,3063-word(!!) telegram, commonly called "The Long Telegram," from Moscow to Secretary of State James Byrnes outlining a new strategy for diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union. In it, he urged that a federation (later realized as NATO) needed to be established in western Europe to counter Soviet influence in the region and to compete against the Soviet stronghold in eastern Europe.

        This and other concepts were outlined in this marathon telegram. Most significantly, perhaps, was his belief (at the time) that the only way to deal with Soviet dictator Josef Stalin was to meet strength with strength, which became known as The Truman Doctrine, of which a central point was the concept of “Containment”.  This became interpreted in several ways. One, a non-military response, was the Marshall Plan, economically helping western European war-ravaged nations in the hope they could resist communist expansionist efforts.

        The more critical point, however, came from a misinterpretation at home that the Soviets were a danger to attack the USA, and the way to stall such aims was to confront Soviet efforts in any nation whose security was threatened. Relatively few Americans ever heard Kennan’s name at the time, as the contents, when released, were attributed to “X.” The public release of Kennan’s telegram was in the form of an article written by Kennan as “X” published in “Foreign Affairs” magazine in July 1947. As a prime example of the law of unintended consequences many Americans influenced, by misinterpretation of Kennan’s focus on the “Red” he knew, Josef Stalin, immediately ascribed the same characteristics to anyone who had ever call themselves a communist and, going to the point of the matter, this included HO Chi Minh and would later include Fidel Castro. It led many to believe that HO was a pawn of Stalin, instead of what he was - a Vietnamese nationalist who just wanted to not be under French Colonial political (and worse) economic dominion.     

        Reflecting a moment, Americans’ general willingness to regard Southeast Asians as “children of a lesser God” should not be all that surprising, considering that just 50 years earlier the US had killed 20,000 Filipino combatants and caused conditions leading to the deaths of more than ten times that many civilians. The circumstances are sadly familiar. We (the US) “liberated” the Philippines from Spain and then when they thanked us and said, “We got it,” we said, “No you don’t, you are incapable of self-government,” as we had done earlier in Cuba. This reasoning actually sprung from the US desire to have a major naval base closer to mainland Asia as the Boxer rebellion on the Chinese mainland was in full swing, and the realization that ethnic Chinese had evolved into significant influence in Manila. This Filipino slaughter went on for three years until anti-colonialist Americans like Mark Twain and others made it such an issue that the decision was made that they were now fit to live under our supervision until we “granted” independence in 1946. We had treated Hawaii in similar manner in 1893. Our arrogance in Afghanistan is simply a continuance, but I digress.

        The Truman Doctrine as this “containment” policy became known, led to Congressional approval of $400 million of military and economic aid to Greece and Turkey in 1947, the Berlin Airlift, and most significantly, a year later, the $13 billion Marshall Plan, aimed at rebuilding a free Europe which could withstand Soviet influences.  As the doctrine began to look more and more as if US military involvement might become an inherent cog in the machine, George Kennan became fairly vocal in stating that he had meant economic and social competition, not military involvement, but the cat had left the bag.   

In part, the long telegram said: (after apologizing for the extreme length of the missive)

“Experience has shown that peaceful and mutually profitable coexistence of capitalist and socialist states is entirely possible. Basic internal conflicts in advanced countries are no longer primarily those arising out of capitalist ownership of means of production but are ones arising from advanced urbanism and industrialism as such, which Russia has thus far been spared not by socialism but only by her own backwardness. Internal rivalries of capitalism do not always generate wars; and not all wars are attributable to this cause. To speak of possibility of intervention against USSR today, after elimination of Germany and Japan and after example of recent war, is sheerest nonsense. If not provoked by forces of intolerance and subversion, "capitalist" world of today is quite capable of living at peace with itself and with Russia. Finally, no sane person has reason to doubt sincerity of moderate socialist leaders in Western countries. Nor is it fair to deny success of their efforts to improve conditions for working population whenever, as in Scandinavia, they have been given chance to show what they could do.”

Somewhat overlooked is this later paragraph which argues against military intervention, a position Kennan retreated to later in life.

And this:  We must see that our public is educated to realities of Russian situation. I cannot over-emphasize importance of this. Press cannot do this alone. It must be done mainly by Government, which is necessarily more experienced and better informed on practical problems involved. In this we need not be deterred by [ugliness?] of picture. I am convinced that there would be far less hysterical anti-Sovietism in our country today if realities of this situation were better understood by our people.

        Although just a sample of this massive document, it conveys what I feel was Kennan’s “lost” message (I paraphrase) “The Russians will continue trying to convince others of the value of their system, but it really has huge flaws and like capitalism, internal disputes as well.” Taken as a whole, I read it as “Stalin’s a power-hungry asshole but he has enough problems at home to deal with and most Russians are decent folks.”  Sadly, many on the Right viewed it as “All Communists are just like Stalin and any local communist effort anywhere is directed from Moscow.” Gradually, a sort of the “Reds are everywhere” began to take shape, and anyone who had ever considered Communism/Socialism even as simply a political exercise (people like Lucille Ball, who went to one Communist meeting in the 1930s) came under suspicion.

        As a final Kennan critique: One of his assertions was that there was no provision for orderly Soviet leadership succession, which was belied by Nikita Khrushchev’s assumption of leadership after Stalin’s death. While Stalin gloried in his military past and was almost never photographed out of uniform, Khrushchev always appeared in business dress, stressing a “bloodless” transition to civilian leadership, in 1953, which probably surprised Kennan and a host of others.   

        In early 1950, two events occurred which reflect not only the Red Scare, but the politicization of it. The first is a telegram from a failing Senator from Wisconsin, who, desperate to win his next election, and (it’s true) at the advice of his priest made some claims which rattled America.        

 

The President the White House 1950, February 11

“In a Lincoln Day dinner at Wheeling (W.VA) Thursday night, I stated that the State Department harbors a nest of Communists and Communist sympathizers who are helping to shape our Foreign policy. I further stated that I have in my possession, the names of 57 Communists who ae in the State department at present”

        This telegram from Senator Joseph McCarthy, and his actions in Wheeling generated incendiary waves of “Red baiting” and generally baseless allegations. Both Truman and later Eisenhower loathed McCarthy, but the anti-Red tide was a political juggernaut. I will, for the sake of brevity (yeah, I know, too late) leave non-foreign policy issues aside, although there were many.   

       The second event happened halfway around the world just 4 months later, as North Korean communist troops, supported by the opportunistic Chinese and Soviets, invaded South Korea. Following Japanese surrender on 15 August 1945, the United States and the Soviet Union divided Korea along the 38th parallel into two zones of occupation, with the Soviets administering the northern zone and the Americans the southern zone. In 1948, as Cold War tensions escalated, the occupation zones became two sovereign states. A capitalist state, the Republic of Korea, was established in the south under the leadership of Syngman Rhee, and a socialist state, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea was established in the north under the Communist and drastically totalitarian leadership of Kim Il-sung. 

    Both governments of the two new Korean states claimed to be the sole legitimate government of all of Korea, and neither accepted the border as permanent. In other words, the US and USSR had split Korea into “our guys” and “their guys.” No elections, no conferences, just two western powers dictating Asian policy. This was compounded by the elephant in the room, the newly established People’s Republic of China, also militantly communist. In June, 1950, North Korean military crossed onto the South and rapidly drove the South Korean army and US occupation forces to a last ditch stand at the Southern end if the Korean Peninsula.

        President Truman believed if aggression went unchecked, a chain reaction would be initiated that would marginalize the UN and encourage Communist aggression elsewhere. Another  major concern was the security of Japan, also a capitalist US post-war occupation nation. The US immediately began using air and naval forces that were in the area to that end. The Truman administration still hesitated to commit more troops on the ground because some advisers believed the North Koreans could be stopped by air and naval power alone. Since US occupation troops were under increasingly heavy fire, and after receiving a (still unattributed publicly) communique assuring that Soviet troops would not oppose US troops in Korea, Truman sent US troops to help the South. Soon after, a UN Security Council resolution denouncing the Northern aggression, passed in the absence of a Soviet representative, led to UN troops from various nations ultimately involved, but the majority of non-Korean troops were American. Skipping the numerous and gory details, the Korean War ended in a stalemate after 3 years of slaughter, in July 1953. Most Americans had and still have no idea that there were several options which included nuclear weapons considered by both Truman and, later, Eisenhower.    

        Of course, anti-Communist sentiment in the US was used by some for political gain. Joseph McCarthy took full advantage of this via many questionable and controversial tactics to become chair of the Senate Government Operations committee by 1953.

        Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the French had been attempting to reassert dominion in Vietnam and were being met with surprising (to them) resistance. Some American politicians were eager to note that the opposition to the French occupation was led by the Ho Chi Minh who they loudly pointed out was a Communist. As previously noted, to many this meant he was Stalin, Mao and Kim all rolled into one. In truth he was far less doctrinaire and far more concerned with independence for his nation.  The fact that the Vietnamese were rigorously defending their turf became an increasing concern to US Politicians, while s most US citizens at the time had no idea of where or what Vietnam was. One awkward issue was that the Vietnamese Vietminh party who resisted Japan and were US WWII allies, were also receiving Soviet weapons to use against the French, and the French Republic had a steady and increasing French Communist party at home to contend with. This led to US chucking the Vietminh under the bus and supporting the French puppet monarchy.    

        The United States decision to provide military assistance to France and the Associated States of Indochina was reached informally in February/March 1950, funded by the President on May 1, 1950, and was announced on May 8 of that year. Later authorizations involved US air power, Naval forces, and military advisors. CIA operatives were in place by1953. Even so, between March 13 and May 7, 1954, Vietminh forces supported by some Soviet advisors and material, defeated the French occupation army, supported by US airpower and financing and what amounted to Southeast Asian mercenaries, at Dien Bien Phu.

         The Geneva Conference on July 21, 1954, recognized the 17th parallel north as a "provisional military demarcation line", temporarily dividing the country into two zones, communist North Vietnam, and pro-Western South Vietnam. Note this line from the Geneva treaty: “The Conference takes note of the clauses in the agreement on the cessation of hostilities in Viet-Nam prohibiting the introduction into Viet-Nam of foreign troops and military personnel as well as of all kinds of arms and munitions.”  And: “The Conference declares that, so far as Viet-Nam is concerned. the settlement of political problems, effected on the basis of respect for the principles of independence, unity and territorial integrity, shall permit the Viet-Namese people to enjoy the fundamental freedoms, guaranteed by democratic institutions established as a result of free general elections by secret ballot”

Long story short (I know, too late):

        20 July 1956 was the date specified in the Geneva Accords for national elections to re-unify North and South Vietnam. The elections were not held because (new) President Diem said South Vietnam was not a party to the Accords. Earlier local elections had been skewed by armed intimidation of villagers assisted by US CIA advisors.  

    Most observers believe that Ho Chi Minh would have won the elections easily. In fact, President Dwight Eisenhower stated that he was sure “"If the elections had been held in 1956, Ho Chi Minh would have won 80 percent of the vote." Viewing that the South had ignored the Geneva Convention requirements and would never allow true national elections, The North declared war on the South’s regime. At this point, the US decided to get involved in a war to maintain an illegal regime and disallow free elections. Why? Because Ho was a communist. Despite what the world had decided, we then decided that some people, especially Asians, apparently, should not be allowed to decide the direction of their nation by democratic processes.

        From that time forward, US involvement, including the overthrow of one South Vietnamese leader and the assassination of another revolved around several issues, including the fact that many rural Vietnamese had always supported Ho and that South Vietnamese leaders were blatantly corrupt. Add tribalism, ignoring the welfare of many citizens and a national military more than a bit unwilling to defend the nation and it all leads to the eventual “declare victory and leave” Nixon decision in 1975, just 2 million deaths later.  

        Sound familiar yet? It should, because we, as a nation are slow learners. In many ways, the failure of foreign policy aimed at telling a mixed population what they should do and believe in Southeast Asia is equally ill advised in Central Asia. In case you missed it, we’ve been practicing for the evacuation of Afghanistan for well over a century. One difference, President Biden pulled us out of this rabbit hole, knowing that doing the right thing is frequently not easy, or even popular, but it is always justified.  

Monday, August 16, 2021

Graveyard of Empires

 

    In his latest senile bloviation in what has become a sickening stream of “I can’t believe I really lost” vitriolic nonsense, Trump has called for President Biden to “resign in disgrace.”

        Apparently, this latest blast of low-grade excreta stems from the collapse of the Afghan government as Taliban forces take back control of most of the country and Trump’s determination to continue his efforts to undermine Democracy here at home.

        To truly understand just how ludicrous it is to blame the Biden Administration for this latest chapter of Mid-East misery a history lesson is in order. C’mon, you knew it was coming, didn’t you? To understand how consistently Afghanistan has bled the coffers and forces of other nations in just the last two centuries requires going back to the mid-19th century.

        for most of the 19th century, Russia was seen as "the enemy" in Britain; and any Russian advance into Central Asia, into what is now Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan, was always assumed (in London) to be directed towards the conquest of India.  An American historian, David Fromkin, once observed, "no matter how far-fetched" such an interpretation might be.  A closer examination would show that the extremely powerful, and mega-connected in Parliament, British East India Company, which was the de facto ruler of India, feared any perturbation of the region on or even near the Indian Border to the North. I have leaped over decades of minor altercations here, but against the warnings of such actual military “pros” such as the Duke of Wellington, who knew a little about war, having defeated Napoleon, the British entered Afghanistan in March 1839. By early 1843 they left in tatters with the army fragmented, the British death toll undetermined but in the thousands. They would do it again in 1879, gaining control but only until they left two years later.

        In both wars, Russia was a non-participant and of no military consequence regardless of British concerns to the opposite at the time. It is noteworthy that neither British adventure was justified by any overt act against British citizens or challenges to British sovereignty, but more from a sort of “what they might do” paranoia.

        From 1901 to 1919 an authoritarian Afghan ruler  balanced Russia and Britain against one another and remained neutral in WWI in spite of Turkish pressures to support their Muslim brothers. There was still significant political interest, in retrospect unjustified, about which European nation influenced Afghan issues.  

        That is, until 1918, when, with Britain occupied in the War and Russia in revolutionary chaos, Amanullah Khan came to power just as the entente between Russia and Britain broke down following the Russian Revolution of 1917. Anxious to modernize and industrialize his country and rid it of all foreign influence, Amanullah wanted to shore up his powerbase by diverting attention from the internal (and sectarian) divisions within  Afghanistan and unite all faction behind him by attacking the British.  He used civil unrest in India as an excuse to move troops to the Indian border, crossing into India western end of the Khyber Pass on 3 May 1919 and occupied the village of Bagh, the scene of an earlier uprising in April. In response, the Indian (British) government ordered a full mobilization and, on 6 May 1919, declared war. By August, the British, tired of war, and in no mood to bargain, used aircraft and modern weapons to subdue the Afghans, ending hostilities with the Anglo-Afghan Treaty, which was essentially dictated by Britain, but did give the Afghans considerable scope of political liberty to enter into foreign agreements. This included formal diplomatic relations with the new government of the Soviet Union in 1919. During the 1920s, Afghanistan established diplomatic relations with most major countries.

        Through the 1920s as Amanullah continued attempts to modernize, he spent increasing amounts of time in Europe as more traditional religious opposition began to grow. Among these actions was declaring himself King in 1926, ending the (Islamic) Emirate status of many years leading to his eventual abdication in 1929, and temporary exile in India. After a failed attempted return to Afghanistan and finding that he had little support from the people, the ex-king traveled to Europe and settled in Italy, and later in Switzerland. His successor was assassinated in 1933. The new ruler, Mohammed Zahir Shah remained the titular head of the nation until 1973.

        On a per capita basis, Afghanistan received more Soviet development aid than any other country. Consequently, Afghanistan had, therefore, good relations with the  both US and the USSR, Cold War enemies. In 1973, while the King was in Italy, Daoud Khan launched a bloodless coup and became the first President of Afghanistan, abolishing the monarchy. This was to be short lived, as in April of 1978, the communist People's Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) seized power in a bloody coup d'état. This now provided a pretext for Soviet support of the new government as a “brother Communist nation”. It also set up the conflict between government and religious conservatives, as Communism and Islam are vastly divergent philosophies.

          This philosophical/political unrest deteriorated into Afghan civil war by 1979, waged by guerrilla mujahideen (ultra conservative Taliban and smaller Maoist guerilla groups) against government regime forces countrywide.  In September 1979, the Soviet backed General Secretary was assassinated in an internal coup orchestrated by then-Prime minister Hafizullah Amin, who assumed the role of general secretary of the People's Democratic Party. Displeased with Amin's government, the Soviet Army invaded the country in December 1979, headed for Kabul, killed Amin, and installed a government organized by and beholden to the Soviets. Thus began the Soviet-Afghan War.

        In brief, Soviet troops in more substantial numbers were deployed to stabilize Afghanistan. The United States and Pakistan, along with smaller actors like Saudi Arabia and China, continued supporting the rebels, delivering billions of dollars in cash and weapons including two thousand FIM-92 Stinger surface-to-air missiles, terrific Soviet Chopper killers. 

        Lasting nine years, the war caused the deaths of between 562,000 and 2 million Afghans and 50,000 Soviets killed or injured  and displaced about 6 million people who subsequently fled Afghanistan, mainly to Pakistan and Iran. Heavy air bombardment destroyed many villages, millions of landmines were planted, and some cities such as Herat and Kandahar were badly damaged from bombardment.

     Pakistan's North-West frontier province functioned as an organizational and networking base for the anti-Soviet Afghan resistance, with the province's influential Conservative Muslims playing a major supporting role in promoting the 'jihad', which for  Mujahedeen splinter groups like the ultra-conservative Taliban, it had been all along.  After the Soviet withdrawal, civil war ensued until the communist regime under People's Democratic Party leader Mohammad Najibullah collapsed in 1992.

        What followed was the internal effort of the Taliban to kick the nation backward to Islamic fundamentalism, which also meant an open door in Taliban controlled regions for terrorists such as Osama Bin Laden, Saudi by birth, anti-American terrorist by vocation. By early 2001 most of Afghanistan was controlled by the repressive Taliban as a Fundamentalist Islamic state under Sharia law. This still might have remained an internal problem had not Bin Laden attacked the US on our own turf, which, as we all will never forget, was done by his minions on September 11, 2001.

         In October 2001, the United States invaded Afghanistan to remove the Taliban from power after they refused to hand over Osama Bin Laden, the architect of the September 11 attacks, who was a "guest" of the Taliban and was operating his al-Qaeda network in Afghanistan. The majority of Afghans supported the American invasion of their country. Thus, for the third time in ten years without a declaration of War, US troops would again engage in the Mideast. The 2001 US incursion removed the Taliban from power and led to the establishment of a democratic government in those areas not under Taliban control.  

        Sadly, it also led to Bin Laden being allowed to flee to Pakistan, in December 2001, based on a SecDef Rumsfeld decision not to commit ground forces at Tora Bora where he had been holed up. He would later be killed in Pakistan in 2011 on the orders of President Obama. Understand that: Osama Bin Laden, the stated reason for the Bush decision to invade Afghanistan, was gone, gone, gone, before 2002!  The number of NATO troops present in Afghanistan peaked at 140,000 in 2011, dropping to about 16,000 in 2018. US troop levels fluctuated between 7.000 and 14,000 over the next fifteen years.

        As withdrawals continued, Taliban influence increased. As the nation is 99.7 Islamic, religious fanaticism is an easier sell than in many other places, Additionally, What the US has not said plainly and openly enough to my mind is to point out the Pakistani involvement in support of the Taliban and Bin Laden.

        As for Trump’s posturing, remember, his latest official opinion while President was that Desert Storm was a mistake, and a younger Trump used fake bone spurs to avoid Viet Nam service. This might make one think he would welcome withdrawal from Afghanistan, but probably not, if there is any chance to malign President Biden. Trump has so little foreign policy comprehension (the opinion of his former National Security Advisor) as to be dangerous.

        Opinion (Mine): remaining in Afghanistan after Bin Laden had fled to Pakistan, where he was killed in a covert military strike, was a Bush 43 mistake, as was the “weapons of mass destruction fraud” Iraq invasion. It was reminiscent of US Viet Nam involvement, which cost more than 2 million lives and yes, I count the Vietnamese who died, because they’re just as dead.

        Afghanistan is a notoriously difficult country to govern. Empire after empire, nation after nation have failed to pacify what is today the modern territory of Afghanistan, giving the region the nickname “Graveyard of Empires.” Attempting to overcome centuries of tribalism and religious zealotry is a task which should not be undertaken by non-believers 8000 miles away because it is a fool’s errand. Whatever happens in Afghanistan will be a continuance of decades old beliefs and conditions and will only (if ever) change when the vast majority of the indigenous population say “enough.”  It will probably not be anytime soon, as Iran has proven, but with a population with a literacy rate of just 47% (higher for males lower for females) it is even more unlikely. Afghanistan may not see their situation improve anytime in the near future. Hampered by tribalism and restrained by fundamentalist and draconian religious concepts it’s a long road, but one on which the US has no business.

        Final note: When Saigon collapsed, one issue was the poor efforts a defense exhibited by some South Vietnamese military. The same is being said of Afghani defense forces - that they just “rolled up” before the Taliban.

 Data:  President George W. Bush cut tax rates for the wealthiest, rather than raise them, at outset of Afghanistan and Iraq wars:   

Estimated amount of direct Afghanistan and Iraq war costs that the United States has debt financed as of 2020: $2 trillion.

Estimated interest costs by 2050: Up to $6.5 trillion.

Estimates of US commitments to pay in health care, disability, burial, and other costs for roughly 4 million Afghanistan and Iraq veterans: more than $2 trillion.


Sometimes what is right is, perhaps, unpopular, but still right. 


Monday, August 2, 2021

Odds ands Ends


Odds and Ends

    One of my favorite lead phrases for any news article is “A Florida Man (or woman)…..”, simply because I know that what is to follow will probably be weird, funny, astonishing or probably a combination thereof. At times, its almost as if we live in a real life “Truman Show” sort of state where events are directed by Quentin Tarantino.

    Sadly, it isn’t always funny. The latest example might read: “A Florida man, one with great authority within the state, upon witnessing consecutive days of record numbers of new cases of a rebounding global pandemic, responded by simply saying. ‘so fucking what?’”

    Our sorry excuse for a governor has apparently ignored the reality of the surge in delta variant Covid cases and simply maintained, against any and all responsible medical advice, that state school administrators are prohibited from levying any requirements for masks in their schools. One of his (quoted) reasons was that he wanted, to “See (his children) laugh and smile!” He also opined, several days ago, that, “I think it's very important that we say, unequivocally, no to lockdowns, no to school closures, no to restrictions and no mandates," He went on to declare, “They should not be consigned to live -- regardless of which state in the union -- consigned to live in a Faucian dystopia in which we're governed by the whims of bureaucratic authorities who care little for our freedom, little for our aspirations and little for our happiness. No more. We can't let it happen going forward."

    If this weren’t simple egotistic pandering to a Republican power base in Trump’s newly selected home of record, it might bear further examination. However, in light of rapidly increasing rates of new cases of Covid and continued DeSantis rejection of vaccination mandates extending even to cruise lines, among other supremely ignorant positions, it is almost impossible to understand.

    The key here, is to acknowledge that Ron DeSantis has higher aspirations than Governor of Florida and that, while his inactivity re: Covid and his refusals to heed competent medical advice are supremely self-serving and unconcerned about the health of all of his constituents, he does understand the Trumpist lunatic fringe and shamelessly courts their votes. For the last two years of Trump’s term, DeSantis has been so shamelessly close behind that a sudden Trump stop would have broken DeSantis’ nose.

    While I would never wish anyone ill. I thought I might consider an exception if the Governor were to contract Covid, because I think he, like many of those former “mask/distancing/vaccination nay-sayers, might have a change of heart. Then I thought again and decided my official position would be “screw him, I hope he pukes up his toenails.”

    On a lighter note, federal officials in South Florida recently arrested a man and his two sons who were selling glorified bleach and marketing it as a cure for COVID-19, cancer, autism, multiple sclerosis, AIDS and pretty much every other ailment under the sun. The “Mineral Miracle Solution,” as it was called, was actually toxic on top of not being able to cure any modern illnesses, according to authorities. Just as ridiculous, an Okeechobee County commissioner was forced to issue an apology for telling his constituents that they could rid themselves of the coronavirus simply by blowing a hair dryer up their nose. He said “the virus just falls apart and disintegrates” from the heat. NO, just no!

    A Tampa man was arrested on Wednesday afternoon for DUI after he reportedly mistook a bank drive-thru for Taco Bell. According to the Hernando County Sheriff's Office, the manager of Bank of America on Mariner Boulevard called to report an impaired driver after he found an unconscious man behind the wheel of a blue sedan in the bank's drive-thru lane. The manager told deputies that after beating on the car window for "some time," he was able to wake up the driver.

    Upon finally being roused, the driver asked the bank manager for a burrito and a Pepsi before driving away after being informed he was not at Taco Bell. The impaired man didn't get far before again pulling off and drowsing. Upon arrival, police found prescription Oxycodone and other drugs in the car and, one assumes, in the suspect.

 And finally: 

    Looking for that perfect anniversary or birthday dinner venue? Why not try combining dining with “rasslin’? Yeah, really. There is normally a fairly wide abyss between these two diversions, but in Florida? Definitely not so at Manor Professional Wrestling Dinner Theater, in Kissimmee, just south of Orlando, where body slams and spandex are served up along with your ringside supper. Try the Head Lock Green Salad or the Drop Kicking Veggie Medley. (yes, really) while watching “Lord Darkness” or “Lady Golden Eyes” competing in the endless (and flamboyantly stage managed) battle of good versus evil. And on that note, I close (for now).        

Friday, July 30, 2021

Who Does it Better?

 

Who Really Does it Better?

 

    The Big Lie from the Right is that Brits pay through the nose for lower quality healthcare in the form of “higher taxes.” (always a generality never a factual, analysis) A close second is the "Oh Yeah", then why does everyone buy private insurance?" I'll refute  the second first. They don't. Only About a tenth of Britons have private insurance, and it's really  more like a supplement. So there.   

    The United Kingdom provides public healthcare to all permanent residents, about 58 million people. Healthcare coverage is free at the point of need and is paid for by general taxation. About 18% of a citizen's income tax goes towards healthcare, which is about 4.5% of the average citizen's income. For simplicity’s sake I will convert pounds to dollars for comparison:

    The personal exemption in the UK is $17,770. In the US it is $4,050 (2020) Even with proposed significant increases in exemption, the UK exemption will be at least $5,000 higher. 

    A couple in the UK who earns $37,500 before taxes will, with the 2 personal exemptions, be just under the 20% tax bracket. In other words, no income tax. With a taxable income between $25,140 and $70,400, the tax rate is 20%. Between $74,000 and $210,000 the rate is 40%. Above $210,000 to infinity the rate is 45%.   So why do all this math?  Bear with me a bit longer.

    And: This isn't a quality contest, there are horror stories about health care issues in every single medical facility on earth, and your "My British uncle had to wait 6 months for a new hip," is eclipsed by the guy in Tampa for whom surgeons amputated the wrong foot! 

     In the US, under the current “Trump” tax reduction, which is to be constant for higher brackets but will decrease for lower earners, a couple with combined taxable incomes of (rounding off) $20,000 to $80,000 will be taxed at 12%. However, using 2020 numbers: The UK couple will exclude $35,000 under their current personal exempt income provisions, while the US couple would exclude no personal exemptions, other than the standard deductions after taxes are computed. Although it isn’t a strictly “apples to apples” analysis, this can be viewed as the UK couple exempting over $37,000 before calculating taxes, while the US couple gets their lower personal exemption after taxes.

    A US couple with $80,000 combined taxable income can expect to pay $9,200 (plus 10% 0f any over $80,000)

    A UK couple earning the same equivalent) top of the 20% bracket would pay $16,000, but to get to that (£57,000) level they will have excluded another untaxed $37,500 in personal allowances, making their actual taxable amount significantly lower than their income

      Even ignoring that significant consideration, let’s move on to how much of that goes to the NHS (National Health Service).  To do a realistic comparison we have to try to compare the gross incomes. Let’s take the couples we compared earlier: The UK couple actually paid $16,000 on a combined (taxable plus excluded) $117,000 in gross income. At the 4.5% rate of UK income  which goes to NHS they spend even with two kids, (as a portion of income) a combined $5265 per year for health care. That’s it, other than drug copays in some cases.

        On the other hand, the US couple (family of four) can expect (national historical average) to spend somewhere over $24,000 annually for medical expenses. As an example, the average total costs just for Massachusetts family health insurance premiums roughly tripled from 2000 to 2019, hitting $21,424 and surpassing the national cost for a new compact car! This includes employee contributions to employer provided health insurance where it exists.

        By contrast, the employer in the UK isn’t required to spend on NHS but may contribute to private health insurance and life insurance. These perks vary by employer. 11% of UK citizens buy additional private health insurance. This is generally not coverage of routine illnesses since all emergent issues are seen right away by NHS, but elective things, such as hip replacements, are sometimes subject to waiting periods of as much as 6 months (I waited 4 months in the US with Medicare and a premium health insurance supplement!) A common misconception in the U.S. is that countries with universal health care have much longer wait times. However, data from nations with universal coverage, and historical data from coverage expansion in the United States, shows that patients in other nations have similar or even shorter wait times.

        Should a UK family of four with 2 adults in their 40s and 2 kids in their teens decide to purchase private family insurance it will cost them perhaps as little as a paltry $1543 PER YEAR (and some employers may subsidize part or all of that)

        Summarizing shows that the UK does more with less, even before factoring in grossly exorbitant US drug prices. The other huge lie is the statement that Medicare for all is unaffordable. Such statements are invariably accompanied by figures such as, “Medicare spends $10,000 annually per person, and we can’t afford it.” They then usually extrapolate that figure to the entire population.  The big lie here, of course, is that for most of the population, including all adults under 65, the actual annual spending is far lower and, for children, even much lower. In fact, for the entire group ages 1 to 64, the annual national average is under $4,000!  Ask yourself this: “If Medicare is so hard pressed, why can Medicare Advantage plans make money and take just my measly monthly Medicare Social Security deduction? The simple answer is “They can’t!” But, Waldo, they don’t have to, because Medicare supplements your input by a lot, and they do it every month whether or not you use any medical care.

        In Sumter County Florida, where I live, the Medicare additional money for me (and the rest of the Medicare recipients in the county) is $907 monthly, believe it or not, if I was suffering with any of several chronic illnesses it would be significantly more. So, Medicare is sending my Medicare Advantage provider over $12,000 annually. Free Market capitalists, like John Stossel, absolutely love situations such as this. Insurance companies love it and Big Pharma absolutely adore it

Thursday, July 22, 2021

On the Columbian Exchange



Note: This is about history, not the usual humor or political commentary. However, it is a field where I actually have professional credentials. So enjoy!


I have a friend who, like myself, writes the occasional essay. opinion piece or Political commentary. He is a legend in the US Marine Band community as the retired long-time guitarist with the Marine band, having played the White House far more times than I have fingers. He is also the author of one of the best moments in network TV history, (link posted at the end of this screed) that being the scene from The West Wing where the president (Martin Sheen) responds to a female “Dr Lauraesque” critic who flings scripture at him out of context. He responds with an almost verbatim recount of my friend’s letter, originally posted elsewhere. When the show aired, someone pointed out the original source of the material, and producer Aaron Sorkin, did the right thing and my friend got a sizeable check. He is also extremely detail oriented, so when I find even a small error in something he has written, you know I’m gonna tell him. Being me. I probably went into more detail than necessary but, part way in, I decided to make this an historical teaching moment for others too,

In a recent essay, my friend opined that the contact between the Americas and the rest of the world (which triggered what has come to be known as The Columbian Exchange) was probably the most significate event in recorded history. I agree with the concept but, like many of us do at times, he makes a supposition based on what many believe to be true, which is historically inaccurate. That statement in his concluding paragraph is that “Bananas, most beans, sugar cane, tobacco, cotton, and dozens of other valuable products were unknown in Europe until then.” At this point my “Bad History” alarm began ringing. And I responded:

" XXXX, I liked your piece on the Columbian exchange. I completely concur with your assessment of its impact and importance. There are a few inconsistencies however regarding the direction some crops travelled. Cane sugar, cotton and bananas were all known in Europe and had been for centuries, but there were those annoying middlemen (Italians and Arabs primarily, but also Portuguese and Spaniards) profiting from their import and sales.

Cotton has been spun, woven, and dyed since prehistoric times. It clothed the people of ancient India, Egypt, and China. Hundreds of years before the Christian era, cotton textiles were woven in India and their use spread to the Mediterranean countries.

The earliest credible evidence of coffee-drinking or knowledge of the coffee tree appears in the middle of the 15th century in the accounts of Ahmed al-Ghaffar in Yemen. It was in Arabia that coffee seeds were first roasted and brewed, in a similar way to how it is prepared now. Coffee had spread to Italy by 1600, and then to the rest of Europe, Indonesia, and the Americas. Some (not you or I) think of it as American in origin, but it isn’t.

Sugar cane was known in the fertile crescent years before the Atlantic crossing and was in fact brought to the West as was coffee, by the Spanish in some of the earliest voyages, but it was the English who really began the whole “Sugar Planter” absentee landlord, slave labor, thing later. Sugar cane was first grown extensively in medieval Southern Europe during the period of Arab rule in Sicily beginning around the 9th century. ... Crusaders brought sugar home with them to Europe after their campaigns in the Holy Land, where they encountered caravans carrying "sweet salt".

The Portuguese, like the Spanish, situated between European and Arab cultures from Africa, found lands suitable for cultivation of sugar first in the Madeira islands. Following the introduction of the first water-driven sugar mill on Madeira, sugar production rapidly increased by 1455, using advisers from Sicily and financed by Genoese capital. This also was the place where commercial, race based, Black African plantation slavery began.

The accessibility of Madeira attracted Genoese and Flemish traders, who were keen to bypass Venetian monopolies. By 1480, well before Spanish contact with the Americas, Antwerp had some seventy ships engaged in the Madeira sugar trade, with the refining and distribution concentrated in Antwerp. By the 1490s Madeira had overtaken Cyprus as a producer of sugar. Thus, Cane sugar was well known in Europe before Columbus, as was coffee, cotton and bananas.

During the medieval period, bananas from the Granada region of Spain were considered among the best in the Arab world. In 650, Islamic conquerors brought the banana to Palestine. Bananas were grown in the Christian Kingdom of Cyprus by the late medieval period. Early Spanish encounters with bananas also occurred in the Philippines. In the 15th and 16th centuries, Portuguese colonists started banana plantations in the Atlantic Islands, Brazil, and western Africa. In other words, cotton, sugar cane, bananas and coffee came west, not east.

That said, the “new” world, populated by less technologically advanced cultures was seen as a sort of “tabula rasa” for concentrated European style agriculture and production for export, bypassing the Italian links to Asian sources. In 1452, Pope Nicholas V issued the papal bull “Dum Diversas”, which legitimized the slave trade, at least as a result of war. It granted Afonso V of Portugal the right to reduce war-conquered "Saracens, pagans and any other unbelievers" to hereditary slavery. Thus the "legitimized" possibility of free labor was added.

Additionally, the treaty of Tordesillas had divided all the “undiscovered” lands between the Portuguese and Spanish Empires, along a meridian 370 leagues west of the Cape Verde islands, off the west coast of Africa. This actually left all of the Americas, except the eastward projection of Brazil, under Spanish control and allowed the Spanish to treat Indigenous peoples as servants, while offering two choices, “convert to Catholicism or we can kill you with the Popes’ blessing.” This pronouncement, known as “the Requerimento” was to be read to locals, in Spanish of course, which none of them understood, sometimes even being read on board the ship before landing. The Spanish interpreted this act as Papal and Royal absolution for whatever horrors were about be inflicted on the newly minted enslaved subjects.

That aside the Spanish were really, at least initially, far more interested, initially, in precious metals than planting. The British however soon saw the opportunity for cutting out the European middleman (in the Sugar trade especially) and with the inception of race based African slavery, as a business, took brutality to greater heights in places like Barbados by the mid-1600s.

You are so right regarding corn, tomatoes, tobacco and potatoes, all of which went East and were instant hits. Oddly, enough tomatoes were initially grown only as ornamentals for several years after being introduced in Italy. I assume at one point someone tasted one and say, “Wait a minute, this would go great on pizza!”

 Note: The far more sinister aspect of all this was the microbes which carried flu, smallpox and a horde of other European communicable diseases.  Although we may never know the exact magnitudes of the depopulation, it is estimated that upwards of 80–95 percent of the Native American population was decimated within the first 100–150 years following 1492! Tainos on Hispaniola (estimates range from 80,000 to over a million were essentially extinct, and the population of central Mexico, originally estimated at 15 million, was reduced to a tenth of that.    

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3CPjWd4MUXs