Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Healthy Insurance?

                                 Healthy Insurance?

        The air is full of information and misinformation re: healthcare, these days. There are numerous misstatements and poor statistical analyses from both sides of the healthcare debate. A reasonable person with time on their hands can, if they are willing, find reasonably comprehensive and accurate answers to many of these questions, but many, blinded by partisan fervor of either side, simply take whatever their flavor of the month politico tells them and make it their mantra.

        Accordingly, as objective an analysis as possible might be appropriate. The best way I can suss out to do this is by posing the usual  pros, cons, and position  statements and then analyzing their validity. I will, however, start with an assumption, based on my own political belief, that being that First: Our current system is not working for most Americans financially, and leaves many unable to obtain even routine medical services, which would  in some cases, avoid far costlier emergency services in hospital vice preventive out patient care. Second: it is possible to specifically indentify reasons why that is true.    

1. "Single Payer Health Care is a panacea for all ills related to availability and cost."

          A: There is no perfect "one size fits all" approach to providing  universal health care. The UK National Health Service  is a single payer, universal system and Switzerland is a multiple insurer (but mandatory) system, both of which are aimed at every citizen having access to primary care fee free at point of service.  In fact, the US has a hybrid system, in which Seniors on Medicare and anyone on Medicaid already are being cared for in a sort of single payer reduced fee (not free!)  system.   Like it, or not, these services are paid for by everyone's tax dollars, while  many Seniors also pay additional out of pocket for various supplementary programs such as hospitalization and drug plans.

2. "Single payer systems cost  more in taxes"

        A: True, but incredibly misleading. American conservatives tend to ignore the composition of spending; to them, just about all spending is equally bad.

        As a percentage of GDP, Europeans do pay a larger share of income in taxes, but as far as health care itself is concerned,  the UK pays 8% of GPD for the national Health Service, while the US pays 15% , or almost double the UK's share, of GDP when public and private spending is considered as a whole. Europeans tend not to have this attitude towards higher tax rates because their governments provide them with benefits from which all residents gain.

        a.  First is cash allowances that almost all families with children receive. We have something similar, the earned-income tax credit. Because it is part of the tax code, it reduces the tax burden; in Europe such programs are part of the budget and thus raise spending. Moreover, the earned-income tax credit benefits only low-income workers; in Europe, family allowances benefit virtually all families with children.

        b. The impact on the tax burden can be dramatic if one views family allowances as negative taxes. For example, in Luxembourg, an average married worker with two children pays a nominal income tax rate of 16.5 percent (including state and local income taxes), while an American in the same situation would pay 5.2 percent. But once family allowances are subtracted from the Luxembourg worker’s income-tax payment, the effective tax rate falls to just nine-tenths of 1 percent.

        c. More importantly, almost every other country has some form of national health insurance that covers, on average, 72 percent of all health costs. The comparable figure in the United States is 46.5 percent, and almost all of that is accounted for by Medicare and Medicaid, which almost exclusively  benefit the elderly and the poor.

        d. The average American family of four in 2012, the last year for which I could find hard data, had an average total healthcare cost of   $24,671 in total healthcare costs.  Of this figure, $10,473 was paid by the family, $6,408 through payroll deductions, and $4,065 in out-of-pocket expenses incurred at point of care. What this means to the individual family is that the average 27%  of income paid in all taxes is actually (considering healthcare as a "must have") more like 38% when private health care spending (the $4,065) is factored in!)

3. "The health care isn't as good; wait times are outrageous."

        A:   Britain’s National Health Service stipulates a standard that patients should wait in an emergency room no more than four hours if they are to be admitted to a hospital. The organization also tracks how many patients wait more than six weeks for needed diagnostic tests (under 1% recently).  Latest UK data shows a wait of about 46 days for elective surgery, a number improving. Canada is much worse, but has made significant improvements over the last three years. This has not however, deterred  several politicians recently from using 2008 data as if it were current when comparing Canada's single payer system to US conditions.

         So OK, Single payer in the UK is quicker than in the US in most ER instances and not very far behind in elective procedures. This does not factor in, , and it is a huge factor,  the additional waiting due to  financial burdens which, in the US, may make a patient forgo the elective procedure altogether, due to co-pays, etc.

        Now the bad news: While we Americans sometimes look down on national health systems like Canada’s and Britain’s because of their notorious waiting lists, there is emerging evidence that lengthy waits to get a doctor’s appointment have become the norm in many parts of American medicine, both for general doctors and  for specialists. That includes patients with private insurance as well as those with Medicaid or Medicare.

        A July 14, 2014 Sunday Review article  cites a relevant recent study.  Merritt Hawkins, a physician staffing firm,  polled five types of doctors’ offices about several types of nonemergency appointments including heart checkups, visits for knee pain and routine gynecologic exams. The waits varied somewhat based on  market and specialty, but were revelatory.

        For example, patients waited an average of 29 days nationally to see a dermatologist for a skin exam, 66 days to have a physical in Boston and 32 days for a heart evaluation by a cardiologist in Washington.  In another unrelated survey, The Commonwealth Fund, compared wait times in the United States to those in 10 other countries last year. “We were smug and we had the impression that the United States had no wait times — but it turns out that’s not true,” said a researcher for the foundation. “It’s the primary care where we’re really behind, with many people waiting six days or more” to get an appointment when they were “sick or needed care.” By the way, "sick or needing care" gets you almost immediate  medical care in the UK. A footnote here is no searching for a doctor who will take your Medicare or particular brand of insurance!

4. This one from a grossly under informed acquaintance, but not atypical of  many who don't know  better. "Then why does everybody in the UK buy private insurance?"

        A: Simplest answer? 

       They  Don't!  "Everybody" is about 11.6% of the population. Private insurance isn't necessary, but will provide immediate (in most cases) access to private hospitals and  elective procedures - by the same doctors who work in the NHS in many,  almost all, cases!   It may be a perk of employment or privately purchased. No matter how purchased, the truth is that it is amazingly inexpensive compared to even US Medicare supplements. A married  couple on Medicare in the US will probably pay at least  $262  monthly for Medicare , parts B and D. This works out to around $3144 annually and doesn't even consider the 20% co-pay on most Medicare approved procedures. So, back to the drawing board for a Medicare supplement which, if a good one, may cost another $50 or more monthly, for another $1200 annually.

        By contrast, private insurance in the UK , which simply bills the NHS in the vast majority of instances (no co-pays, no point of service fees), would cost this couple at the most, for a top tier plan, perhaps $1500 annually. Private insurance in the US is a must, in the UK it is a luxury.

5. "But it's the damned profiteering insurance companies, right? They're the ones keeping costs up!"
        A: Not so much.  While it is true that insurers are frequently considered to be the bogeymen of American health care, it's primarily  because they do a lot of the unpopular stuff: They’re the ones who charge you money for health care, who say you can’t get something you want, who your bosses blame when they deduct more money from your paycheck to cover health costs. They're the face the consumer sees when he bitches  about of health care costs, and it’s hard to see what value they add to the system.

        Yet the preeminent problem with the Affordable Care Act isn’t the insurance industry. In fact, the main benefits of nationalized health care can be achieved in systems with hundreds, as Switzerland does, or  by even thousands, of for-profit insurers. No matter what Michael Moore or others think, Insurers aren't the profiteering bandits they are sometimes painted as.

        A clearer way to think about it is to consider profitability of the various stake holders in private insurance. This is huge bucks -- and insurers aren’t where the big profits in the health-care system go. In 2009, Forbes Magazine ranked health insurance as the 35th most profitable industry, with an anemic 2.2 percent return on revenue. To better understand this fact, consider that an average industry's net ROR is about 5 to 6.5 % annually. To understand why our  health-care system is so expensive, you need to travel higher up the Forbes list. The pharmaceutical industry was in third place, with a 19.9 percent return, and the medical products and equipment industry was right behind it, with a 16.3 percent return. Meanwhile, doctors are more likely than members of any other profession to have incomes in the top 1 percent.

        Generally,  Americans don’t use more health care than citizens of other countries. In point of fact we may, as a nation, use a bit less because many simply can't afford to see a doctor. But we pay a lot more for the health care we do get. Data gathered by the International Federation of Health Plans show that an MRI costs, on average, $1,121 in the United States and $363 in France. An appendectomy costs $13,851 in the United States and $4,782 in Switzerland. A birth by cesarean section costs $3,676 in the United States and $606 in Canada. A bottle of Nexium -- a common acid-reflux drug -- costs $202 in the United States and $32 in Britain. The sad truth about American health care is that it costs more not because insurers are so powerful, but because they’re so weak.

        There are few truly single-payer systems in the developed world. Canada has one, so does Taiwan. (Note, this means that private insurance is illegal in Canada, unlike the UK.)  Most countries rely on multiple  insurers. Germany, for instance, has more than 150 “sickness funds.” The Swiss and Dutch health systems look a lot like the Affordable Care Act's  health-insurance exchanges. About 90 percent of French  citizens have supplementary health insurance. Sweden has recently moved from a single-payer system to one with private insurers. The common factor, however is that  all these countries pay vastly less for drugs, surgeries or doctor visits than Americans do.

        Why, you ask?  Because in every case the government sets prices for health-care services and products. Insurers in Switzerland don’t negotiate drug prizes with Pfizer or Smith- Kline. The Swiss government simply sets its drug prices and lets Pfizer decide whether to sell in Switzerland -- or not. And sell they do!  “The problem is that in the U.S. payers are fragmented while in other countries they are unified even if there are many insurers,” according to Gerard Anderson, director of the Center for Hospital Finance and Management at Johns Hopkins University.

        In the United States, insurers are left to negotiate with hospitals and drug companies on their own, resulting in their paying more as a result.  In fact, because of this weak negotiating position they frequently use whatever price Medicare is paying as a baseline and then, because they lack the power to strike a similar deal, add a percentage on top. One University economist  noted  that when Medicare increases what it pays for a service by $1, private insurers increase their payments by $1.30 a - 30% bump.  Thus, sadly,  US health care consumers suffer from the  worst of both approaches: Prices aren’t set by the market, but they also aren’t set by the government. Consequently, Medicare’s negotiating power is weakened by the threat that drug companies or hospitals will opt to do business only with higher-paying private insurers. We simultaneously miss out on the efficiency of a purely private system and on the savings of a purely public one.   Note that the previous  discussion refers to Medicare, a large entity, things are far more grim for the individual insurer.

6. "But I hate Socialism!"

        A: So did Theodore Roosevelt, but he knew extortion and monopoly when he saw it, too. I have written at length elsewhere outlining the profiteering of major drug companies. Above, I cited an "average" 19.9%  industry wide profit margin. Truth told, for the top three drug companies world- wide, the number is about 30%!!  While these sharks will tell you that all this profit goes into research and development, that is simply not so. All of the big three spend more on advertising than on research! They spend a lot on lobbying to protect the system which disadvantages each of us. A far too common trend is the gradual increasing of pricing on a drug as it nears the end of patent protection. While it costs progressively less to manufacture, sale price increases.  Multiple-sclerosis drugs are a good example—a study published n Neurology examined nine different MS drugs and found that their prices “increased annually at rates 5 to 7 times higher than prescription drug inflation” between 1993 and 2013! Part of the blame for this piracy can be traced all the way back to Medicare, Part D.

        In 2006, the U.S. government made a great effort to improve access to approved cancer drugs by requiring Medicare Part D to cover such drugs. Conversely, the 2003 Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act contains legislation that forbids Medicare from negotiating drug prices. So -yes, Medicare must cover the drugs and yes, they must pay whatever the drug company has the balls to charge! These policies have created an opportunity for drug companies, rendering them the sole decision makers on the price of cancer drugs. At present there is considerable  question of whether current pricing of cancer drugs is based on reasonable expectation of return on investment or whether it is based on what prices the market can bear, with the latter a more reasonable assumption! It isn't just Martin Shkreli and Turing, either, a recent drug price change by Mallinkrodt for an infant seizure medication jacked the price from $33 per vial to $69o for the same dose!

        OK, that ought to do it for a while. I'm not 

going to post this as text on Face book, but will put it on my blog. and link to it on FB. Please if you have comments, let me know on FB. Thanks

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